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Hawkins (Hawkins) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 22.62% (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Hawkins Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Hawkins's forward rate of return for was 22.62%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

HWKN' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: -11.51   Med: 6.5   Max: 23.36
Current: 22.46

During the past 13 years, Hawkins's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.36. The lowest was -11.51. And the median was 6.50.

HWKN's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
87.62% of 1131 companies
in the Chemicals industry
Industry Median: 8.86 vs HWKN: 22.46

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Hawkins Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hawkins Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Hawkins Annual Data
Trend Mar14 Mar15 Mar16 Mar17 Mar18 Mar19 Mar20 Mar21 Mar22 Mar23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.35 2.34 12.07 22.39 23.00

Hawkins Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 23.15 23.00 23.07 23.17 22.62

Competitive Comparison of Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Chemicals subindustry, Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Chemicals Industry

For the Chemicals industry and Basic Materials sector, Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Hawkins Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return of Dec. 2023 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.848/70.42+0.2
=22.62 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hawkins  (NAS:HWKN) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Hawkins Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hawkins's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hawkins (Hawkins) Business Description

Industry
GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Chemicals » Hawkins Inc (NAS:HWKN) » Definitions » Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2381 Rosegate, Roseville, MN, USA, 55113
Hawkins Inc manufactures and sells a variety of chemicals and ingredients. The firm organizes itself into three segments based on the product type. The industrial segment, which generates the majority of revenue, sells private label bleach, caustic soda, sulfuric acid, hydrochloric acid, phosphoric acid, potassium hydroxide, and aqua ammonia. The water treatment segment sells chemicals and equipment used to treat potable water, municipal and industrial wastewater, industrial process water, and non-residential swimming pool water. The health and nutrition segment sells ingredients to food, beverage, personal care, and dietary supplement producers. The vast majority of revenue comes from the United States.
Executives
Jeffrey P. Oldenkamp officer: CFO, VP and Treasurer 14000 TECHNOLOGY DRIVE, EDEN PRAIRIE MN 55344
Jeffrey E Spethmann director P.O. BOX 1299, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55440-1299
David J. Mangine officer: VP - Industrial Group 2381 ROSEGATE, ROSEVILLE MN 55113
Yi Tang director 2381 ROSEGATE, ROSEVILLE MN 55113
Theresa R Moran officer: VP - Quality & Support 3100 EAST HENNEPIN AVENUE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Douglas A. Lange officer: Vice President 2381 ROSEGATE, ROSEVILLE MN 55113
Shirley A. Rozeboom officer: VP Health and Nutrition 2381 ROSEGATE, ROSEVILLE MN 55113
Daniel J Stauber director 2381 ROSEGATE, ROSEVILLE MN 55113
Drew M. Grahek officer: Vice President of Operations 2381 ROSEGATE, ROSEVILLE MN 55113
Patrick H. Hawkins officer: President 3100 EAST HENNEPIN AVENUE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Jeffrey L Wright director
Matthews Steven D Ii officer: VP of Operations 3100 E HENNEPIN AVENUE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413
Mary J. Schumacher director 3735 ISLAND VIEW CIRCLE, PRIOR LAKE MN 55372
Richard G Erstad officer: VP, General Counsel & Sec 1300 NICOLLET MALL, SUITE 5003, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55403
John R Sevenich officer: Vice President, Industrial 3100 EAST HENNEPIN AVENUE, MINNEAPOLIS MN 55413