What is MOCON Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. MOCON's forward rate of return for was 4.91%.
The historical rank and industry rank for MOCON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
MOCO's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 9.34 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
MOCON Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for MOCON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Competitive Comparison of MOCON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Scientific & Technical Instruments subindustry, MOCON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
MOCON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Hardware Industry
For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, MOCON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where MOCON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
MOCON Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
MOCON (NAS:MOCO) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
MOCON Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of MOCON's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
MOCON Inc was incorporated as a Minnesota corporation in February 1966. The Company designs, manufactures, markets and services products, and provides consulting services, in the test and measurement, analytical instrument and services markets. Its products includes instruments that detects, measures and monitors gases and other chemical compounds which help its customers improves the quality of their products, as well as develops new products. Its gas and vapor permeation instruments were first used in the food packaging industry, starting in the 1970s, to measure small amounts of moisture which can adversely affect dry cereals and other food packaging. The Company's products serve markets such as foods, beverages, pharmaceuticals and consumer products, oil and gas exploration and industrial and environmental safety. It develops, manufactures, markets and services test and measurement, analytical and monitoring instruments and systems used to detect, measure and analyze gases and other chemical compounds, as well as providing related consulting services. The market for these products consists of manufacturers of packaging materials, including manufacturers of papers, plastic films, coatings and containers and the users of such packaging materials, such as companies in the food, beverage, pharmaceutical and consumer product industries. Its other customers include manufacturers of flat panel displays, solar panels, electronics, and many other sophisticated materials. The Company has four operating segments which are combined into three reporting segments as follows; Permeation Products and Services, Package Testing Products and Services, and Industrial Analyzer Products and Services and Other. Its permeation products consist of systems and services that measure the rate at which various gases and vapors transmit through a variety of materials. These products perform measurements under precise temperature, pressure and relative humidity conditions. It manufactures and sells three products in this group; headspace analyzers, leak detection equipment and gas mixers. Its headspace analyzer products are used to analyze the amount and type of gas present in the headspace of flexible and rigid packages, as applied to gas flushing in modified or controlled atmosphere packaging. It manufactures and distributes gas analysis and monitoring instrumentation used in applications such as oil and gas exploration, process gas analysis, industrial hygiene and safety, environmental air monitoring and indoor air quality. Its microbial detection products are designed to rapidly detect microbial growth in food and beverage samples. The Company manufactures and sells three products in this group; headspace analyzers, leak detection equipment and gas mixers. Its trademarks and service marks include the following; MOCON, APCHECK, AQUATRACE, AQUATRAN, AROMATRAN, AROMATRAX, BASELINE, BEVALERT, CALCARD, CAL-SMART, CheckPoint, CMV-2, COULOX, FLO SMART, GREENL
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