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Sonic (SONC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 15.39% (As of Aug. 2018)


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What is Sonic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Sonic's forward rate of return for was 15.39%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Sonic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

SONC's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Restaurants industry.
Industry Median: 9.56
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Sonic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sonic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sonic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Sonic Annual Data
Trend Aug09 Aug10 Aug11 Aug12 Aug13 Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17 Aug18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 4.48 16.62 19.03 16.76 15.39

Sonic Quarterly Data
Nov13 Feb14 May14 Aug14 Nov14 Feb15 May15 Aug15 Nov15 Feb16 May16 Aug16 Nov16 Feb17 May17 Aug17 Nov17 Feb18 May18 Aug18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.76 16.77 16.57 17.13 15.39

Competitive Comparison of Sonic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Restaurants subindustry, Sonic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sonic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Sonic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sonic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Sonic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Sonic's Forward Rate of Return of Aug. 2018 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.14895238/35.86+0.1219
=15.39 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sonic  (NAS:SONC) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Sonic Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Sonic's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Sonic (SONC) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Sonic Corp operates and franchises drive-in restaurants throughout the United States. The restaurants typically consist of a building that houses only a kitchen to go along with 16 to 24 parking spaces that have their own payment terminals, intercom speakers, and menu boards. Carhops serve customers in their cars. Many locations also have a drive-thru lane and patio seating as alternatives. Sonic franchises roughly 90% of its restaurants, and the royalty revenue the company earns on franchise sales contributes roughly a quarter of total company revenue. Company-operated stores provide the balance of total revenue. Sonic owns the property on which hundreds of its restaurants are located. For those properties that house franchised stores, franchisees lease from the company.
Executives
Steven A Davis director 3776 SOUTH HIGH ST, COLUMBUS OH 43207
Lauren R Hobart director 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15275
Tony Bartel director 625 WESTPORT PARKWAY, GRAPEVINE TX 76051
Kathy L Taylor director C/O FREDERIC DORWART LAWYERS, 124 EAST FOURTH STREET, TULSA OK 74103
Pedro Claudia San officer: President 300 JOHNNY BENCH DRIVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73104
Kate S Lavelle director 24089 3RD STREET, FAIRHOPE AL 36532
Federico F Pena director 711 HIGH STREET, DES MOINES IA 50392-0300
J Larry Nichols director DEVON ENERGY CORP, 20 NORTH BROADWAY STE 1500, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73102-8260
Southeastern Asset Management Inc/tn/ 10 percent owner 6410 POPLAR AVENUE, SUITE 900, MEMPHIS TN 38119
Longleaf Partners Funds Trust 10 percent owner C/O SOUTHEASTERN ASSET MANAGEMENT, 6410 POPLAR AVE, SUITE 900, MEMPHIS TN 38119
Todd Whitney Smith officer: President and CMO 300 JOHNNY BENCH DRIVE, OKLAHOMA CITY OK 73104
Craig Jeffrey Miller officer: Former Officer of Subsidiary 5008 HARTRIDGE WAY, GREENSBORO NC 27407
Robert M Rosenberg director
Michael J Maples director 2208 WINDSOR ROAD, AUSTIN TX 78703
Douglas N Benham director

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