What is National Interstate Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. National Interstate's forward rate of return for was -4.35%.
The historical rank and industry rank for National Interstate's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
NATL's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 16.19 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
National Interstate Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for National Interstate's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
National Interstate Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of National Interstate's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, National Interstate's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
National Interstate's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Insurance Industry
For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, National Interstate's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where National Interstate's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
National Interstate Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
National Interstate (NAS:NATL) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
National Interstate Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of National Interstate's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
National Interstate (National Interstate) Business Description
National Interstate Corp was founded in 1989. The Company, together with its subsidiaries operates as an insurance holding company group that underwrites and sells traditional and alternative property and casualty insurance products to the passenger transportation, trucking and moving and storage industries, general commercial insurance to small businesses in Hawaii and Alaska and personal insurance to owners of recreational vehicles throughout the United States. It is a specialty property and casualty insurance company with a niche orientation and a focus on the transportation industry. It offers over 40 product lines in the specialty property and casualty insurance market, which it groups into four general business components, alternative risk transfer, transportation, specialty personal lines and Hawaii and Alaska based on the class of business, insureds' risk participation or geographic location. Alternative risk transfer underwrites, markets and distributes truck transportation, passenger transportation and moving and storage ART insurance products, also known as captives. Transportation underwrites commercial auto liability, general liability, physical damage, workers' compensation and motor truck cargo and related coverages for truck and passenger operators. Specialty personal lines offer coverage for campsite liability, vehicle replacement coverage and coverage for trailers, golf carts and campsite storage facilities. The Company offers its products through multiple distribution channels including independent agents and brokers, program administrators, affiliated agencies and agent internet initiatives. The Company competes with Lancer Insurance Company, RLI Corporation, Great West Casualty Company, Northland Insurance Company, Sentry Insurance, Progressive Corporation and National General Insurance, Liberty Mutual Insurance Company, First Insurance, Dongbu Insurance Company, DTRIC Insurance Company, Zurich Insurance Company, American International Group, Inc., Travelers Company, Inc.
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