What is Piedmont Natural Gas Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Piedmont Natural Gas Co's forward rate of return for was 0.84%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
PNY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 6.535 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Piedmont Natural Gas Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Piedmont Natural Gas Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Utilities - Regulated Gas subindustry, Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry
For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Piedmont Natural Gas Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Piedmont Natural Gas Co (NYSE:PNY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Piedmont Natural Gas Co Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Piedmont Natural Gas Co's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Piedmont Natural Gas Co (Piedmont Natural Gas Co) Business Description
Piedmont Natural Gas Co Inc was incorporated in New York in 1950 and began operations in 1951. In 1994, it merged into a newly formed North Carolina corporation with the same name for the purpose of changing its state of incorporation to North Carolina. The Company is an energy services company whose business is distribution of natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial and power generation clients in portions of North Carolina, South Carolina and Tennessee, including customers served by municipalities who are its wholesale customers. The Company is invested in joint venture, energy-related businesses, including unregulated retail natural gas marketing, regulated interstate natural gas transportation and storage and regulated intrastate natural gas transportation. It provides service from resource centers in Anderson, Greenville and Spartanburg in South Carolina and Charlotte, Salisbury, Greensboro, Winston-Salem, High Point, Burlington, Hickory, Indian Trail, Spruce Pine, Reidsville, Fayetteville, New Bern, Wilmington, Tarboro, Elizabeth City, Rockingham and Goldsboro in North Carolina. In North Carolina, it also provides natural gas service to Greenville, Rocky Mount and Wilson. In Tennessee, its service area is the metropolitan area of Nashville, including wholesale natural gas service to Gallatin and Smyrna. The Company has three reportable business segments, regulated utility, regulated non-utility activities and unregulated non-utility activities. The regulated utility segment includes operating a safe and reliable natural gas distribution system and the ability to recover the costs and expenses of the business in the rates charged to customers. The regulated non-utility activities segment consists of equity method investments in regulated energy-related joint ventures that are held by the Company's wholly-owned subsidiaries. The unregulated non-utility activities segment consists of its equity method investment in an unregulated energy-related joint venture that is held by a wholly-owned subsidiary. The regulated utility competes with other energy products, such as electricity and propane, in the residential and commercial customer markets. Natural gas for power generation competes with other fuel sources for the generation of electricity, including coal, nuclear and renewable resources. Additionally, as with industrial customers, the Company competes with other pipeline providers to serve the power generation plants.
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