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Ashtead Group (Ashtead Group) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : 19.36% (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Ashtead Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Ashtead Group's forward rate of return for was 19.36%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

ASHTF' s Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 10.97   Med: 19.53   Max: 23
Current: 19.12

During the past 13 years, Ashtead Group's highest Forward Rate of Return was 23.00. The lowest was 10.97. And the median was 19.53.

ASHTF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is ranked better than
63.44% of 681 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 13.87 vs ASHTF: 19.12

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Ashtead Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ashtead Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Ashtead Group Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.89 23.48 19.31 16.95 19.53

Ashtead Group Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 17.94 19.53 18.98 19.57 19.36

Competitive Comparison of Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Ashtead Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2024 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=1.80819048/67.17+0.1554
=18.23 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ashtead Group  (OTCPK:ASHTF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Ashtead Group Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ashtead Group's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ashtead Group (Ashtead Group) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 Cheapside, London, GBR, EC2V 6DT
Ashtead is an equipment rental business with operations in the U.S., Canada, and United Kingdom, operating under the Sunbelt Rentals brand. Earnings are mostly derived from the U.S. where Sunbelt enjoy a number-two market position with a 13% share in a highly fragmented market consisting of national, regional, and independent competitors. Ashtead rents a range of construction, industrial, and general equipment such as aerial lifts, hand-held tools, and forklifts across its more than 1,550 rental stores worldwide.

Ashtead Group (Ashtead Group) Headlines