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Belle International Holdings (Belle International Holdings) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -0.89% (As of Feb. 2017)


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What is Belle International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Belle International Holdings's forward rate of return for was -0.89%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Belle International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

BELLY's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry.
Industry Median: 6.73
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Belle International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Belle International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Belle International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Belle International Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Feb14 Feb15 Feb16 Feb17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 22.01 16.79 11.22 4.25 -0.89

Belle International Holdings Semi-Annual Data
Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Jun09 Dec09 Jun10 Dec10 Jun11 Dec11 Jun12 Dec12 Jun13 Dec13 Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.22 - 4.25 - -0.89

Competitive Comparison of Belle International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Footwear & Accessories subindustry, Belle International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Belle International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories Industry

For the Manufacturing - Apparel & Accessories industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Belle International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Belle International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Belle International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Belle International Holdings's Forward Rate of Return of Feb. 2017 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.81316667/6.98+-0.0568
=5.97 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Belle International Holdings  (OTCPK:BELLY) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Belle International Holdings Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

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Belle International Holdings (Belle International Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Belle International is China's largest women's footwear retailer. Founded in 1992, and headquartered in Hong Kong, Belle owns six of China's top 10 women's footwear brands, commanding as much as 25% market share in fiscal 2013. In addition to the manufacturing and distribution of female footwear, Belle also distributes major sportswear products, including Nike and Adidas.

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