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Fenner (Fenner) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -11.85% (As of Aug. 2017)


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What is Fenner Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Fenner's forward rate of return for was -11.85%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Fenner's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

FNERF's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 8.7
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


Fenner Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fenner's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fenner Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

Fenner Annual Data
Trend Aug08 Aug09 Aug10 Aug11 Aug12 Aug13 Aug14 Aug15 Aug16 Aug17
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.88 22.19 8.67 -10.87 -11.85

Fenner Semi-Annual Data
Aug08 Feb09 Aug09 Feb10 Aug10 Feb11 Aug11 Feb12 Aug12 Feb13 Aug13 Feb14 Aug14 Feb15 Aug15 Feb16 Aug16 Feb17 Aug17 Feb18
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - -10.87 - -11.85 -

Competitive Comparison of Fenner's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Fenner's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fenner's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Fenner's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fenner's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



Fenner Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

Fenner's Forward Rate of Return of Aug. 2017 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.454/4.5+-0.242
=-14.11 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Fenner  (OTCPK:FNERF) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


Fenner Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fenner's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fenner (Fenner) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Hesslewood Country, Office Park, Ferriby Road, Hessle, East Yorkshire, GBR, HU13 0PW
Fenner PLC is an UK-based company which delivers reinforced polymer technology. It is engaged in manufacturing of precision polymer products and provision of conveyor services to mines and to the operators of material handling facilities such as ports. Its products include precision drives; problem-solving power transmission and motion transfer components; silicone and complex hoses for heavy duty trucks, off-road vehicles; lay-flat hoses for firefighting, agriculture and oil & gas industries. The company also manufactures rubber ply, solid woven and steel cord conveyor belting for mining, power generation, and industrial applications. It divides its business in two segments, Advanced Engineered Products and Engineered Conveyor Solutions. It earns the majority of its revenue from Americas.

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