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TECO Energy (TECO Energy) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % : -0.44% (As of Mar. 2016)


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What is TECO Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?

Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. TECO Energy's forward rate of return for was -0.44%.

The historical rank and industry rank for TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:

TE's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Utilities - Regulated industry.
Industry Median: 6.11
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.

Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.


TECO Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data

The historical data trend for TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

TECO Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart

TECO Energy Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.24 2.42 4.21 0.44 -1.31

TECO Energy Quarterly Data
Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16
Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.13 0.35 -0.90 -1.31 -0.44

Competitive Comparison of TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %

For the Utilities - Regulated Electric subindustry, TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Utilities - Regulated Industry

For the Utilities - Regulated industry and Utilities sector, TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.



TECO Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation

Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):

If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.

The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).

TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return of Mar. 2016 is

Forward Rate of Return=Normalized Free Cash Flow/Price+5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=0.5152381/27.53+-0.0231
=-0.44 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


TECO Energy  (NYSE:TE) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation

Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.

For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.


Be Aware

In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.


TECO Energy Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of TECO Energy's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


TECO Energy (TECO Energy) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
TECO Energy Inc was incorporated in Florida in 1981 as part of a restructuring in which it became the parent corporation of Tampa Electric Company. The Company is an energy-related holding company with five core businesses, consisting of regulated electric and gas utility operations in Florida and other operating companies engaged in coal mining and synthetic fuel production, waterborne transportation services and unregulated electric generation with long-term contracts and regulated electricity distribution in Guatemala. In 2000 and 2001, the Company announced a series of investments in unregulated domestic power generation facilities outside of Florida, which were made in the 2000 through 2003 period. In the same period, the Company also invested in other smaller unregulated energy service providers within Florida. These investments were made in anticipation of a movement toward competitive energy markets in Florida and other states in which the Company was investing in new power plants. In 2003, the Company announced its revised business strategy, which was to focus on its Florida utilities and other profitable operating companies and to reduce the risk to cash flow and earnings from its involvement in the merchant power sector. Since that announcement, the Company has taken a number of steps that have eliminated its merchant power risk and improved its financial results. The Company's regulated utility companies, Tampa Electric and Peoples Gas operate in the high-growth Florida market. Tampa Electric serves almost 720,000 retail customers in a 2,000-square-mile service area in West Central Florida and has electric generating plants with a winter peak generating capacity of 4,730 MW. PGS, Florida's largest gas distribution utility, serves more than 360,000 residential, commercial, industrial and electric power generating customers in all major metropolitan areas of the state, with a total natural gas throughput of almost 1.8 billion therms in 2015.. Peoples Gas System, a division of Tampa Electric Company, is engaged in the purchase and distribution of natural gas for residential, commercial, industrial and electric power generation customers in Florida. The Company's other energy-related operating companies are: TECO Coal, TECO Transport and TECO Guatemala. TECO Coal, through its subsidiaries, operates 13 surface and 27 underground mines and related coal processing facilities in eastern Kentucky, Tennessee and southwestern Virginia producing metallurgical-grade and high-quality steam coals. TECO Transport, the Company's waterborne transportation company, through its subsidiaries, operates a fleet of inland river barges and towboats on the Ohio, Mississippi and Illinois rivers and their tributaries; a fleet of eight oceangoing tug-barge combination units and three ships that operate in the Gulf of Mexico and world wide; and a dry-bulk storage and transfer terminal located on the Mississippi River southeast of New Orleans. TECO
Executives
Sherrill W Hudson director 201 SOUTH BISCAYNE BOULEVARD, 34TH FLOOR, MIAMI CENTER, MIAMI FL 33131
Paul L Whiting director 2910 BAY TO BAY BLVD #200, TAMPA FL 33629
Evelyn V Follit director 200 TAYLOR ST STE 400, FORTH WORTH TX 76102
Dubose Ausley director C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111
William P Sovey director 5349 WINDING CREEK ROAD, ROCKFORD IL 61114
Shirley M Payne officer: VP-Corp Accounting and Tax C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111
Ira D Hall director C/O TECO ENERGY INC, P O BOX 111, TAMPA FL 336010111

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