What is Fresh Market Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %?
Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. Fresh Market's forward rate of return for was 18.58%.
The historical rank and industry rank for Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % or its related term are showing as below:
TFM's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % is not ranked *
in the Retail - Defensive industry.
Industry Median: 16.43 * Ranked among companies with meaningful Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % only.
Unlike the Earnings Yield %, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past seven years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
Fresh Market Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Historical Data
The historical data trend for Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
* Premium members only.
Fresh Market Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Chart
Competitive Comparison of Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %
For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) %, along with its competitors' market caps and Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry
For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % falls into.
Fresh Market Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Calculation
Forward Rate of Return is a concept that Don Yacktman uses in his investment approach. Yacktman explained the forward rate of return concept in detail in his interview with GuruFocus. Yacktman defines forward rate of return as the normalized free cash flow yield plus real growth plus inflation. He said in the interview (March 2012, when the S&P 500 was at about 1400):
If the business is stable, this calculation is fairly straightforward. For instance, on the S&P 500 we would normalize earnings. We would then calculate what percentage of those earnings are not reinvested in the underlying businesses and are therefore free. Historically, for the S&P 500, this has been just under 50% of earnings. Currently, we expect the S&P to earn about 70 on a normalized basis, a number which is far below reported earnings due to our adjusting for record high profit margins. $70 X ½ / 1400 gives you a normalized free cash flow yield of approximately 2.5%.
The historical real growth rate of the S&P 500 (companies) is about 1.5%. Assuming an inflation rate of 2.5%, the forward rate of return on an investment in the S&P 500 is about 6.5% today (2.5% free cash flow yield plus 1.5% real growth plus 2.5% inflation).
Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return of Jan. 2016 is
Forward Rate of Return
=
Normalized Free Cash Flow
/
Price
+
5-Year EBITDA Growth Rate
=
0.68133333
/
19.16
+
0.1502
=
18.58 %
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD. * For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Fresh Market (NAS:TFM) Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Explanation
Unlike the Earnings Yield, the Forward Rate of Return uses the normalized Free Cash Flow of the past five years, and considers growth. The forward rate of return can be thought of as the return that investors buying the stock today can expect from it in the future.
For the growth part of the Forward Rate of Return calculation, GuruFocus uses the 5-year average growth rate of EBITDA per share as the growth rate, and the growth rate is always capped at 20%. For the Free Cash Flow we use per share data averaged over five years. The reason we use five years is to make it comparable to the growth rate.
Be Aware
In the Forward Rate of Return calculation, the growth rate is added directly to today's free cash flow yield. Therefore the calculation is reliable only if the company can grow at the same rate in the future as it did in the past. Investors should pay close attention to this when researching growth stocks. A more accurate measurement for return is Return on Capital.
Fresh Market Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % Related Terms
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fresh Market's Forward Rate of Return (Yacktman) % provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Fresh Market, Inc., is a Delaware corporation and it was founded in 1982. The Company is a specialty retailer focused on creating an extraordinary food shopping experience for its customers. It provides high-quality food products, with an emphasis on fresh, premium perishables and an uncompromising commitment to customer service. As of January 26, 2014, the Company operates 151 stores in 26 states. It offers fresh, carefully selected, high-quality food products focused on perishable categories. Examples of its offerings include hand-trimmed steaks that are aged for tenderness, fresh seafood delivered up to six times per week, hand-stacked produce that is colorfully displayed and French-style baguettes baked in-store each morning. The Company's stores average approximately 21,000 square feet, compared to the approximately 40,000 to 60,000 square foot stores operated by many conventional supermarkets. The Company's distribution strategy is to capitalize on the capabilities of best-in-class third-party logistics providers and, as such, it does not own warehouses, distribution facilities or transportation equipment. The Company outsources substantially all of its logistics functions to third-party distributors and vendors. Its trademarks, including its registered The Fresh Market, Experience the Food and TFM trademarks are valuable assets that reinforce its customers' favorable perception of its stores. The Company's competition varies and includes national conventional supermarkets such as Kroger and Safeway, regional supermarkets such as Harris Teeter and Publix, national superstores such as Wal-Mart and Target, alternative food retailers such as Whole Foods and Trader Joe's, and local supermarkets, natural foods stores, smaller specialty stores and farmers' markets. The Company's stores are subject to various local, state, federal and international laws, regulations and administrative practices affecting its business.
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