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CF Industries Holdings (CF Industries Holdings) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $4.61 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

CF Industries Holdings's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.522. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $4.61 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, CF Industries Holdings's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 28.10% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 34.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 26.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 6.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of CF Industries Holdings was 34.10% per year. The lowest was -31.90% per year. And the median was 18.90% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), CF Industries Holdings's current stock price is $80.00. CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $4.61. CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 17.35.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of CF Industries Holdings was 44.99. The lowest was 12.57. And the median was 25.12.


CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

CF Industries Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.77 1.91 2.51 3.60 4.61

CF Industries Holdings Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.60 3.89 4.41 4.41 4.61

Competitive Comparison of CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Agricultural Inputs subindustry, CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Agriculture Industry

For the Agriculture industry and Basic Materials sector, CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, CF Industries Holdings's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=1.522/129.4194*129.4194
=1.522

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

CF Industries Holdings Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 1.303 99.695 1.692
201406 -1.904 100.560 -2.450
201409 0.136 100.428 0.175
201412 -1.183 99.070 -1.545
201503 0.357 99.621 0.464
201506 -2.622 100.684 -3.370
201509 -0.786 100.392 -1.013
201512 -2.332 99.792 -3.024
201603 -1.413 100.470 -1.820
201606 -2.582 101.688 -3.286
201609 -1.266 101.861 -1.609
201612 -1.572 101.863 -1.997
201703 1.124 102.862 1.414
201706 3.166 103.349 3.965
201709 0.467 104.136 0.580
201712 0.199 104.011 0.248
201803 0.911 105.290 1.120
201806 1.017 106.317 1.238
201809 2.177 106.507 2.645
201812 0.477 105.998 0.582
201903 1.006 107.251 1.214
201906 1.408 108.070 1.686
201909 1.663 108.329 1.987
201912 0.891 108.420 1.064
202003 1.039 108.902 1.235
202006 1.743 108.767 2.074
202009 0.636 109.815 0.750
202012 0.870 109.897 1.025
202103 2.347 111.754 2.718
202106 0.083 114.631 0.094
202109 2.215 115.734 2.477
202112 6.252 117.630 6.879
202203 6.284 121.301 6.705
202206 3.940 125.017 4.079
202209 3.982 125.227 4.115
202212 2.286 125.222 2.363
202303 4.459 127.348 4.532
202306 3.164 128.729 3.181
202309 2.442 129.860 2.434
202312 1.522 129.419 1.522

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


CF Industries Holdings  (NYSE:CF) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=80.00/4.61
=17.35

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of CF Industries Holdings was 44.99. The lowest was 12.57. And the median was 25.12.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


CF Industries Holdings Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of CF Industries Holdings's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


CF Industries Holdings (CF Industries Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
4 Parkway North, Suite 400, Deerfield, IL, USA, 60015
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen, which is primarily used in fertilizers. The company operates nitrogen manufacturing plants primarily in North America. CF also produces nitrogen in the United Kingdom and holds a joint venture interest in a nitrogen production facility in Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally. The company is also investing in carbon-free blue and green ammonia, which can be used an alternative fuel to hydrogen or as a means to transport hydrogen.
Executives
Bert A Frost officer: VP, Sales and Mkt Development C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Susan A Ellerbusch director C/O SUMMIT MATERIALS, INC., 1550 WYNKOOP STREET, 3RD FLOOR, DENVER CO 80202
Douglas C Barnard officer: VP, General Counsel, Secretary C/O CF INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE SALEM LAKE DRIVE, LONG GROVE IL 60047
Michael Patrick Mcgrane officer: VP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Anne P Noonan director 25435 HARVARD RD, BEACHWOOD OH 44122
Christopher D Bohn officer: VP, Supply Chain C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
W Anthony Will officer: VP, Corporate Development C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Richard A Hoker officer: VP and Corporate Controller C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Ashraf K Malik officer: Sr. VP, Manufacturing & D'istn C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Stephen A Furbacher director 1000 LOUISIANA ST, STE 5800, HOUSTON TX 77002
Susan L Menzel officer: Sr. VP, Human Resources C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., FOUR PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Robert C Arzbaecher director ACTUANT CORP, 13000 WEST SILVER SPRING DRIVE, BUTLER WI 53007
Yris Jesus Madrazo director C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, DEERFIELD IL 60015
Deborah L Dehaas director 3005 HIGHLAND PARKWAY, SUITE 200, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
David P Hopkins officer: Managing Dir. CF Fert. UK C/O CF INDUSTRIES HOLDINGS, INC., 4 PARKWAY NORTH, SUITE 400, DEERFIELD IL 60015