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Fossil Group (Fossil Group) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $2.58 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fossil Group's adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $0.896. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $2.58 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, Fossil Group's average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -21.80% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -12.70% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -8.50% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 1.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Fossil Group was 29.60% per year. The lowest was -12.70% per year. And the median was 16.10% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), Fossil Group's current stock price is $0.791. Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $2.58. Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 0.31.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Fossil Group was 63.20. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 3.41.


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Fossil Group Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.95 3.88 3.99 3.30 2.58

Fossil Group Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 3.30 3.05 2.98 2.97 2.58

Competitive Comparison of Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Luxury Goods subindustry, Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Fossil Group's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=0.896/129.4194*129.4194
=0.896

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

Fossil Group Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 1.349 99.695 1.751
201406 0.599 100.560 0.771
201409 0.191 100.428 0.246
201412 3.274 99.070 4.277
201503 1.322 99.621 1.717
201506 1.270 100.684 1.632
201509 -0.996 100.392 -1.284
201512 4.076 99.792 5.286
201603 0.308 100.470 0.397
201606 0.369 101.688 0.470
201609 -0.555 101.861 -0.705
201612 2.862 101.863 3.636
201703 0.972 102.862 1.223
201706 -0.502 103.349 -0.629
201709 0.419 104.136 0.521
201712 2.254 104.011 2.805
201803 -0.171 105.290 -0.210
201806 1.602 106.317 1.950
201809 -0.174 106.507 -0.211
201812 3.405 105.998 4.157
201903 0.003 107.251 0.004
201906 -0.768 108.070 -0.920
201909 -2.304 108.329 -2.753
201912 2.306 108.420 2.753
202003 -1.590 108.902 -1.890
202006 1.663 108.767 1.979
202009 1.582 109.815 1.864
202012 0.076 109.897 0.090
202103 -0.776 111.754 -0.899
202106 0.516 114.631 0.583
202109 -0.580 115.734 -0.649
202112 1.578 117.630 1.736
202203 -2.261 121.301 -2.412
202206 -1.019 125.017 -1.055
202209 -1.023 125.227 -1.057
202212 1.917 125.222 1.981
202303 -1.709 127.348 -1.737
202306 0.015 128.729 0.015
202309 -0.544 129.860 -0.542
202312 0.896 129.419 0.896

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Fossil Group  (NAS:FOSL) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=0.791/2.58
=0.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Fossil Group was 63.20. The lowest was 0.31. And the median was 3.41.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Fossil Group Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Fossil Group's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Fossil Group (Fossil Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
901 S. Central Expressway, Richardson, TX, USA, 75080
Fossil Group Inc is a design, innovation and distribution company in consumer fashion accessories. The products include traditional watches, smartwatches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts and sunglasses. The reportable segments are comprised of 1) Americas segment includes sales in Canada, Latin America and the United States. 2) Europe segment includes sales in European countries, the Middle East and Africa. 3) Asia segment includes sales in Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea and Thailand. Each reportable operating segment includes sales to wholesale and distributor customers, and sales through Company-owned retail stores and e-commerce activities based on the location of the selling entity.
Executives
Suzanne M Coulter director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Kosta N Kartsotis director, 10 percent owner, officer: Pres. & CEO 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Diane L Neal director
Melissa B Lowenkron officer: SVP, General Manager, Fossil 901 S CENTRAL EXPY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Holly Briedis officer: EVP, Chief Digital Officer 901 S CENTRAL EXPY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Gregory A Mckelvey officer: Executive Vice President 2515 MCKINNEY AVE., SUITE 1200, DALLAS TX 75201
Darren E. Hart officer: Executive Vice President 2280 N. GREENVILLE AVENUE, RICHARDSON TX 75082
Steve Andrew Evans officer: Executive Vice President 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Gail B Tifford director 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75134
Marc Rey director 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Sunil M Doshi officer: SVP, Chief Accounting Officer 5760 STATE HIGHWAY 121, SUITE 250, PLANO TX 75024
Martin Frey officer: EVP 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
William B Chiasson director C/O LEAPFROG ENTERPRISES, INC., 6401 HOLLIS STREET, SUITE 150, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Kim Harris Jones director THREE LAKES DRIVE, NORTHFIELD IL 60093
Kevin Mansell director C/O KOHLS LEGAL, N56 W170000 RIDGEWOOD DR, MENOMONEE FALLS WI 53051