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Guess? (Guess?) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share : $1.36 (As of Jan. 2024)


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What is Guess? Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

Guess?'s adjusted free cash flow per share for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was $3.578. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide the count will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $1.36 for the trailing ten years ended in Jan. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Guess?'s average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was 2.30% per year. During the past 3 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -3.40% per year. During the past 5 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -2.70% per year. During the past 10 years, the average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate was -3.50% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate using Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average Cyclically Adjusted FCF Growth Rate of Guess? was 32.60% per year. The lowest was -5.40% per year. And the median was 4.60% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Guess?'s current stock price is $26.23. Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Jan. 2024 was $1.36. Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is 19.29.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Guess? was 23.14. The lowest was 4.14. And the median was 13.35.


Guess? Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Historical Data

The historical data trend for Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Guess? Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Chart

Guess? Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.46 1.51 1.37 1.33 1.36

Guess? Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.33 1.27 1.28 1.22 1.36

Competitive Comparison of Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



Guess? Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share and the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years.

What is Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share? How do we calculate Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share?

Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the free cash flow per share from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the 2001 free cash flow per share data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent free cash flow in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent free cash flow in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart's free cash flow is $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 free cash flow in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent free cash flow per share of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by the count to get Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Guess?'s adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Jan. 2024 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare= Free Cash Flow per Share /CPI of Jan. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Jan. 2024)
=3.578/106.4611*106.4611
=3.578

Current CPI (Jan. 2024) = 106.4611.

Guess? Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201404 -0.207 101.294 -0.218
201407 0.183 101.137 0.193
201410 -0.662 101.245 -0.696
201501 1.652 100.270 1.754
201504 -0.029 100.157 -0.031
201507 0.401 99.846 0.428
201510 -0.087 99.868 -0.093
201601 0.854 99.000 0.918
201604 -0.581 99.804 -0.620
201607 -0.156 99.644 -0.167
201610 -0.422 99.656 -0.451
201701 0.933 99.346 1.000
201704 -0.588 100.241 -0.624
201707 -0.006 99.972 -0.006
201710 -0.610 100.314 -0.647
201801 2.017 100.081 2.146
201804 -1.084 101.046 -1.142
201807 0.232 101.202 0.244
201810 -0.675 101.425 -0.709
201901 1.107 100.642 1.171
201904 -1.431 101.762 -1.497
201907 0.797 101.517 0.836
201910 -0.290 101.168 -0.305
202001 3.178 100.845 3.355
202004 -1.028 100.680 -1.087
202007 1.505 100.583 1.593
202010 0.871 100.591 0.922
202101 1.653 100.296 1.755
202104 -0.952 101.010 -1.003
202107 1.274 101.266 1.339
202110 -0.872 101.840 -0.912
202201 1.578 101.950 1.648
202204 -1.119 103.584 -1.150
202207 0.478 104.743 0.486
202210 -0.647 104.891 -0.657
202301 2.533 105.296 2.561
202304 -0.552 106.241 -0.553
202307 0.608 106.424 0.608
202310 -0.342 106.667 -0.341
202401 3.578 106.461 3.578

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.


Guess?  (NYSE:GES) Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share may underestimate the company's free cash flow. Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can seem to be too high even the actual Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow is low.

For the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, the free cash flow per share of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/FCF calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is also called CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=26.23/1.36
=19.29

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF of Guess? was 23.14. The lowest was 4.14. And the median was 13.35.


Be Aware

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real free cash flow value.


Guess? Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Guess?'s Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Guess? (Guess?) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
Strada Regina 44, Bioggio, CHE, CH-6934
Guess? Inc designs, markets distribute, and licenses contemporary apparel and accessories that reflect European fashion sensibilities under brands including Guess, Marciano, and G by Guess. The company has five reportable segments namely Americas Retail, Americas Wholesale, Europe, Asia, and licensing. It generates maximum revenue from the Europe segment.
Executives
Paul Marciano director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and Co-CEO C/O GUESS INC, 1444 S ALAMEDA ST, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Maurice Marciano director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chairman and Co-CEO 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Deborah Weinswig director C/O XCEL BRANDS, INC., 1333 BROADWAY, 10TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Markus Neubrand officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA ST, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Thomas Jr Barrack director C/O COLONY NORTHSTAR, INC., 515 S. FLOWER ST., 44TH FLOOR, LOS ANGELES CA 90071
Fabrice Benarouche officer: SVP Finance and IR, CAO C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Anthony Chidoni director C/O GUESS INC, 1444 S ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Dennis R Secor officer: Chief Financial Officer 901 S. CENTRAL EXPRESSWAY, RICHARDSON TX 75080
Carlos Alberini director, officer: CEO and Director C/O LUCKY BRAND, LLC, 540 SOUTH SANTA FE AVE., LOS ANGELES CA 90013
Alex Yemenidjian director, other: Chairman of the Board C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Cynthia R Livingston director C/O GUESS, INC, 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Laurie Ann Goldman director 3344 PEACHTREE ROAD, SUITE 1700, ATLANTA GA 30326
Kathryn Low Anderson officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 S. ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Gianluca Bolla director C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021
Reddy Sandeep officer: CFO C/O GUESS?, INC., 1444 SOUTH ALAMEDA STREET, LOS ANGELES CA 90021