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The Estee Lauder (The Estee Lauder) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF : 32.77 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF?

As of today (2024-04-27), The Estee Lauder's current share price is $147.45. The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $4.50. The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is 32.77.

The historical rank and industry rank for The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF or its related term are showing as below:

EL' s Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 25.16   Med: 49.44   Max: 84.14
Current: 32.77

During the past years, The Estee Lauder's highest Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF was 84.14. The lowest was 25.16. And the median was 49.44.

EL's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF is ranked worse than
64.99% of 697 companies
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry
Industry Median: 23.47 vs EL: 32.77

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller. He uses E10 for his Shiller PE Ratio calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings per share of a company over the past 10 years. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF. The Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share is the average of the inflation adjusted free cash flow per share of a company over the past 10 years.

The Estee Lauder's adjusted free cash flow per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $3.092. Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share, which is $4.50 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

Shiller PE for Stocks: The True Measure of Stock Valuation


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Chart

The Estee Lauder Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.25 53.47 73.11 50.11 43.18

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 49.28 48.62 43.18 32.77 32.51

Competitive Comparison of The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF

For the Household & Personal Products subindustry, The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF falls into.



The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Calculation

Like the Shiller PE Ratio, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF takes the Free Cash Flow per Share from the past 10 years, adjusts it for inflation, and then calculates the average. This average is then used for the P/FCF calculation. Because it considers this 10-year average, it's often referred to as the CAPFCF Ratio.

The Shiller PE Ratio was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The similar calculation is applied by GuruFocus to calculate the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF.

The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF for today is calculated as

Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF=Share Price/ Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share
=147.45/4.5
=32.77

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 is calculated as:

For example, The Estee Lauder's adjusted Free Cash Flow per Share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare=Free Cash Flow per Share/CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=3.092/129.4194*129.4194
=3.092

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

The Estee Lauder Quarterly Data

Free Cash Flow per Share CPI Adj_FreeCashFlowPerShare
201403 0.666 99.695 0.865
201406 0.509 100.560 0.655
201409 0.126 100.428 0.162
201412 1.961 99.070 2.562
201503 0.777 99.621 1.009
201506 0.950 100.684 1.221
201509 -0.216 100.392 -0.278
201512 2.184 99.792 2.832
201603 0.647 100.470 0.833
201606 0.751 101.688 0.956
201609 -0.630 101.861 -0.800
201612 2.284 101.863 2.902
201703 0.860 102.862 1.082
201706 0.936 103.349 1.172
201709 -0.091 104.136 -0.113
201712 3.217 104.011 4.003
201803 1.001 105.290 1.230
201806 1.014 106.317 1.234
201809 -0.660 106.507 -0.802
201812 3.320 105.998 4.054
201903 0.907 107.251 1.094
201906 1.242 108.070 1.487
201909 -0.800 108.329 -0.956
201912 3.433 108.420 4.098
202003 1.424 108.902 1.692
202006 0.491 108.767 0.584
202009 0.659 109.815 0.777
202012 4.038 109.897 4.755
202103 1.797 111.754 2.081
202106 1.636 114.631 1.847
202109 -0.777 115.734 -0.869
202112 4.571 117.630 5.029
202203 -0.209 121.301 -0.223
202206 1.902 125.017 1.969
202209 -2.219 125.227 -2.293
202212 3.147 125.222 3.252
202303 0.069 127.348 0.070
202306 -5.306 128.729 -5.334
202309 -1.950 129.860 -1.943
202312 3.092 129.419 3.092

Add all the adjusted free cash flow per share together and divide 10 will get our Cyclically Adjusted FCF per Share.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.


The Estee Lauder  (NYSE:EL) Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Explanation

Compared with the regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow, which works poorly for cyclical businesses, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF smoothed out the fluctuations of free cash flow during business cycles. Therefore it is more accurate in reflecting the valuation of the company.

If a company has consistent business performance, the Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF should give similar results to regular Price-to-Free-Cash-Flow.


The Estee Lauder Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of The Estee Lauder's Cyclically Adjusted Price-to-FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


The Estee Lauder (The Estee Lauder) Business Description

Address
767 Fifth Avenue, New York, NY, USA, 10153
Estee Lauder is a leader in the global prestige beauty market, participating across skin care (56% of 2022 sales), makeup (26%), fragrance (14%), and hair care (4%) categories, with top-selling brands such as Estee Lauder, Clinique, M.A.C, La Mer, Jo Malone London, Aveda, Bobbi Brown, and Origins. The firm operates in more than 150 countries, generating 26% of revenue from the Americas, 43% from Europe, the Middle East and Africa (including travel retail), and 31% from Asia Pacific. Estee Lauder sells its products through department stores, travel retail, specialty multibrand beauty stores, brand-dedicated freestanding stores, e-commerce, salons/spas, and perfumeries.
Executives
Charlene Barshefsky director
Jane Lauder director 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
Hudis Jane Hertzmark officer: Group President C/O THE ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC., 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
Carl P. Haney officer: EVP-Global R&D C/O ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC., 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
Jennifer Hyman director 767 FIFTH AVENUE, C/O THE ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC., NEW YORK NY 10153
Fabrizio Freda officer: President and COO 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
De La Faverie Stephane officer: Executive Group President C/O THE ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC., NEW YORK NY 10153
Michael O'hare officer: EVP-Global Human Resources 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
Wei Sun Christianson director MORGAN STANLEY, TOWER 1, 18 TAIPINGQIAO ST. XICHENG DIST, BEIJING F4 1000032
Barry S Sternlicht director STARWOOD CAPITAL GROUP GLOBAL LP, 1601 WASHINGTON AVENUE, SUITE 800, MIAMI BEACH FL 33139
Angela Wei Dong director C/O THE ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC., 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
Peter Jueptner officer: President, International
Arturo Nunez director C/O THE ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC., 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
Ronald S Lauder director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman Clinique Labs, Inc. 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10153
John Demsey officer: Group President 767 FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10036