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First National (First National) E10 : $1.87 (As of Dec. 2023)


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What is First National E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

First National's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was $-0.140. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is $1.87 for the trailing ten years ended in Dec. 2023.

During the past 12 months, First National's average E10 Growth Rate was -1.60% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 31.10% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 47.40% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 14.90% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of First National was 68.50% per year. The lowest was -24.90% per year. And the median was -4.55% per year.

As of today (2024-04-27), First National's current stock price is $15.03. First National's E10 for the quarter that ended in Dec. 2023 was $1.87. First National's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 8.04.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of First National was 80.36. The lowest was 7.23. And the median was 19.47.


First National E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for First National's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

First National E10 Chart

First National Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 0.46 0.83 1.58 1.90 1.87

First National Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.90 1.97 2.05 2.09 1.87

Competitive Comparison of First National's E10

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, First National's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


First National's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, First National's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where First National's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



First National E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, First National's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Dec. 2023 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Dec. 2023 (Change)*Current CPI (Dec. 2023)
=-0.14/129.4194*129.4194
=-0.140

Current CPI (Dec. 2023) = 129.4194.

First National Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201403 0.189 99.695 0.245
201406 0.261 100.560 0.336
201409 0.187 100.428 0.241
201412 0.680 99.070 0.888
201503 0.044 99.621 0.057
201506 0.024 100.684 0.031
201509 0.081 100.392 0.104
201512 0.170 99.792 0.220
201603 0.223 100.470 0.287
201606 0.291 101.688 0.370
201609 0.344 101.861 0.437
201612 0.340 101.863 0.432
201703 0.312 102.862 0.393
201706 0.355 103.349 0.445
201709 0.370 104.136 0.460
201712 0.270 104.011 0.336
201803 0.543 105.290 0.667
201806 0.495 106.317 0.603
201809 0.540 106.507 0.656
201812 0.470 105.998 0.574
201903 0.456 107.251 0.550
201906 0.420 108.070 0.503
201909 0.500 108.329 0.597
201912 0.550 108.420 0.657
202003 0.340 108.902 0.404
202006 0.460 108.767 0.547
202009 0.360 109.815 0.424
202012 0.650 109.897 0.765
202103 0.500 111.754 0.579
202106 0.690 114.631 0.779
202109 0.380 115.734 0.425
202112 0.350 117.630 0.385
202203 0.600 121.301 0.640
202206 0.610 125.017 0.631
202209 0.710 125.227 0.734
202212 0.760 125.222 0.785
202303 0.610 127.348 0.620
202306 0.560 128.729 0.563
202309 0.500 129.860 0.498
202312 -0.140 129.419 -0.140

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


First National  (NAS:FXNC) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

First National's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=15.03/1.87
=8.04

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of First National was 80.36. The lowest was 7.23. And the median was 19.47.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


First National E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of First National's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


First National (First National) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
112 West King Street, Strasburg, VA, USA, 22657
First National Corp is a bank holding company of First Bank, which is a commercial bank. Its core offering includes loans, deposits, wealth management, and other products and services. Loan products and services include personal loans, residential mortgages, home equity loans, and commercial loans. Deposit products and services include checking and savings. The Bank's wealth management division offers estate planning, investment management of assets, and retirement accounts.
Executives
Smith Gerald F Jr director 112 W KING ST, STRASBURG VA 22657
Holt George Edwin Iii director 112 WEST KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657
Wilkins Iii James R director 112 W KING ST, STRASBURG VA 22657
Kirtesh Patel director 112 WEST KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657
Scott C Harvard director, officer: President/CEO 112 W KING ST, STRASBURG VA 22657
Boyce E Brannock director 112 WEST KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657
C Ray Sprinkle director 112 WEST KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657
Jason C Aikens director 112 WEST KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657
William Michael Funk director 443 SHENWOOD AVE, WOODSTOCK VA 22664-1956
Dennis A Dysart officer: Senior EVP/CCO 112 WEST KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657
Beverley Jr Marshall J officer: EVP-Senior Trust Officer 112 W KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657
James C Youngblood officer: EVP/SENIOR LENDING OFFICER 112 WEST KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657-2220
Emily Marlow Beck director 311 S STEWART ST, WINCHESTER VA 22601-4016
Crow Samuel J Jr. officer: EVP / CCO 112 W KING ST, STRASBURG VA 22657
Davis Dr James A director 112 WEST KING STREET, STRASBURG VA 22657