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Microsoft (HKSE:04338) E10 : HK$24.03 (As of Mar. 2024)


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What is Microsoft E10?

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years.

Microsoft's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$23.000. Add all the adjusted EPS for the past 10 years together and divide 10 will get our e10, which is HK$24.03 for the trailing ten years ended in Mar. 2024.

During the past 12 months, Microsoft's average E10 Growth Rate was 16.40% per year. During the past 3 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 22.00% per year. During the past 5 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 19.10% per year. During the past 10 years, the average E10 Growth Rate was 11.00% per year. Please click Growth Rate Calculation Example (GuruFocus) to see how GuruFocus calculates Wal-Mart Stores Inc (WMT)'s revenue growth rate. You can apply the same method to get the E10 growth rate using E10 data.

During the past 13 years, the highest 3-Year average E10 Growth Rate of Microsoft was 40.10% per year. The lowest was 4.10% per year. And the median was 16.10% per year.

As of today (2024-04-28), Microsoft's current stock price is HK$1600.00. Microsoft's E10 for the quarter that ended in Mar. 2024 was HK$24.03. Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio of today is 66.58.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller PE Ratio of Microsoft was 85.14. The lowest was 16.48. And the median was 43.44.


Microsoft E10 Historical Data

The historical data trend for Microsoft's E10 can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Microsoft E10 Chart

Microsoft Annual Data
Trend Jun14 Jun15 Jun16 Jun17 Jun18 Jun19 Jun20 Jun21 Jun22 Jun23
E10
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 12.50 7.69 14.03 30.46 26.69

Microsoft Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
E10 Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.14 26.69 30.15 26.04 24.03

Competitive Comparison of Microsoft's E10

For the Software - Infrastructure subindustry, Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio, along with its competitors' market caps and Shiller PE Ratio data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio Distribution in the Software Industry

For the Software industry and Technology sector, Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Microsoft's Shiller PE Ratio falls into.



Microsoft E10 Calculation

E10 is a concept invented by Prof. Robert Shiller, who uses E10 for his Shiller P/E calculation. When we calculate the today's Shiller P/E ratio of a stock, we use today's price divided by E10.

What is E10? How do we calculate E10?

E10 is the average of the inflation adjusted earnings of a company over the past 10 years. Let's use an example to explain.

If we want to calculate the E10 of Wal-Mart (WMT) for Dec. 31, 2010, we need to have the inflation data and the earnings from 2001 through 2010.

We adjusted the earnings of 2001 earnings data with the total inflation from 2001 through 2010 to the equivalent earnings in 2010. If the total inflation from 2001 to 2010 is 40%, and Wal-Mart earned $1 a share in 2001, then the 2001's equivalent earnings in 2010 is $1.4 a share. If Wal-Mart earns $1 again in 2002, and the total inflation from 2002 through 2010 is 35%, then the equivalent 2002 earnings in 2010 is $1.35. So on and so forth, you get the equivalent earnings of past 10 years. Then you add them together and divided the sum by 10 to get E10.

Please note that we use the CPI data of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the CPI data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the CPI data of the United States as default.

For example, Microsoft's adjusted earnings per share data for the three months ended in Mar. 2024 was:

Adj_EPS= Earnings per Share (Diluted) /CPI of Mar. 2024 (Change)*Current CPI (Mar. 2024)
=23/129.4194*129.4194
=23.000

Current CPI (Mar. 2024) = 129.4194.

Microsoft Quarterly Data

per share eps CPI Adj_EPS
201406 4.263 100.560 5.486
201409 4.186 100.428 5.394
201412 5.505 99.070 7.191
201503 4.733 99.621 6.149
201506 -3.101 100.684 -3.986
201509 4.728 100.392 6.095
201512 4.805 99.792 6.232
201603 3.647 100.470 4.698
201606 3.027 101.688 3.852
201609 5.585 101.861 7.096
201612 6.207 101.863 7.886
201703 5.436 102.862 6.839
201706 6.473 103.349 8.106
201709 6.563 104.136 8.156
201712 -6.406 104.011 -7.971
201803 7.449 105.290 9.156
201806 8.946 106.317 10.890
201809 8.933 106.507 10.855
201812 8.445 105.998 10.311
201903 8.948 107.251 10.798
201906 13.382 108.070 16.026
201909 10.812 108.329 12.917
201912 11.785 108.420 14.068
202003 10.871 108.902 12.919
202006 11.315 108.767 13.463
202009 14.105 109.815 16.623
202012 15.736 109.897 18.531
202103 15.763 111.754 18.255
202106 16.843 114.631 19.016
202109 21.086 115.734 23.579
202112 19.342 117.630 21.281
202203 17.367 121.301 18.529
202206 17.501 125.017 18.117
202209 18.446 125.227 19.064
202212 17.128 125.222 17.702
202303 19.229 127.348 19.542
202306 21.071 128.729 21.184
202309 23.407 129.860 23.328
202312 22.883 129.419 22.883
202403 23.000 129.419 23.000

Add all the adjusted EPS together and divide 10 will get our e10.


Microsoft  (HKSE:04338) E10 Explanation

If a company grows much fast than inflation, E10 may underestimate the company's earnings power. Shiller PE Ratio can seem to be too high even the actual P/E is low.

For the Shiller P/E, the earnings of the past 10 years are inflation-adjusted and averaged. The result is used for P/E calculation. Since it looks at the average over the last 10 years, the Shiller P/E is also called PE10.

The Shiller P/E was first used by professor Robert Shiller to measure the valuation of the overall market. The same calculation is applied here to individual companies.

Microsoft's Shiller P/E Ratio of today is calculated as

Shiller PE Ratio=Share Price/E10
=1600.00/24.03
=66.58

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

During the past 13 years, the highest Shiller P/E Ratio of Microsoft was 85.14. The lowest was 16.48. And the median was 43.44.


Be Aware

Shiller PE Ratio works better for cyclical companies. It gives you a better idea on the company's real earnings power.


Microsoft E10 Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Microsoft's E10 provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Microsoft (HKSE:04338) Business Description

Address
One Microsoft Way, Redmond, WA, USA, 98052-6399
Microsoft develops and licenses consumer and enterprise software. It is known for its Windows operating systems and Office productivity suite. The company is organized into three equally sized broad segments: productivity and business processes (legacy Microsoft Office, cloud-based Office 365, Exchange, SharePoint, Skype, LinkedIn, Dynamics), intelligence cloud (infrastructure- and platform-as-a-service offerings Azure, Windows Server OS, SQL Server), and more personal computing (Windows Client, Xbox, Bing search, display advertising, and Surface laptops, tablets, and desktops).

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