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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-06-06), Ball's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $19.05. The stock price of Ball is $69.99. Therefore, Ball's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.7.
The historical rank and industry rank for Ball's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ball was 5.37. The lowest was 1.12. And the median was 2.46.
The historical data trend for Ball's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ball Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 23.69 | 22.51 | 23.09 | 20.59 | 20.93 |
Ball Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 14.79 | 20.04 | 20.47 | 20.93 | 19.05 |
For the Packaging & Containers subindustry, Ball's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Packaging & Containers industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Ball's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Ball's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ball's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $19.20.
Ball's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (10.407385931648 | * | 19.2 | + | 7308 | * | 0.8) | / | 317.385 | |
= | 19.05 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Ball (NYSE:BALL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Ball's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 69.99 | / | 19.050118341723 | |
= | 3.67 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ball's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Ronald J. Lewis | officer: SR VP & COO | C/O COCA-COLA ENTERPRISES, 2500 WINDY RIDGE PARKWAY, NW, 14TH FLOOR, ATLANTA GA 30339 |
Howard H Yu | officer: E.V.P and C.F.O | 250 S. KRAEMER BLVD., BREA CA 92821 |
Hannah S. Lim | officer: SVP, CLO & CORP SEC | 2135 WEST MAPLE ROAD, TROY MI 48084 |
Deron Goodwin | officer: Vice President & Treasurer | 9200 W. 108TH CIRCLE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021 |
David A Kaufman | officer: President, Ball Aerospace | 9200 W. 108TH CIRCLE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021 |
John A Hayes | officer: VP, CORP STR, MKTG & PROD DEV | C/O BALL CORP, 10 LONGS PEAK DR, BROOMFIELD CO 80021-2510 |
Daniel William Fisher | officer: Sr VP & COO Global Bev Pkg | 2526 SPRUCE MEADOWS DRIVE, BROOMFIELD CO 80023 |
Cynthia Niekamp | director | PPG INDUSTRIES, INC., ONE PPG PLACE, PITTSBURGH PA 15272 |
Betty J. Sapp | director | C/O BALL CORPORATION, 10 LONGS PEAK DRIVE, BROOMFIELD CO 80021-2510 |
Stacey J. Panayiotou | officer: SVP and CHRO | 9200 W. 108TH CIRCLE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021 |
Nate C Carey | officer: Vice President & Controller | 10 LONGS PEAK DRIVE, BROOMFIELD CO 80021 |
Dune Ives | director | 9200 W. 108TH CIRCLE, WESTMINSTER CO 80021 |
Pedro Henrique Mariani | director | 10 LONGS PEAK DRIVE, BROOMFIELD CO 80021 |
Michael J Cave | director | C/O ESTERLINE TECHNOLOGIES CORP, 500 108TH AVE NE, SUITE 1500, BELLEVUE WA 98004 |
Georgia R Nelson | director | C/O TOWER AUTOMOTIVE INC, 27175 HAGGERTY ROAD, NOVI MI 48377-3626 |
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