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Blount International (Blount International) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $-12.00 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is Blount International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Blount International's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $-12.00.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Blount International's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Blount International is N/A.

The historical rank and industry rank for Blount International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BLT's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is not ranked *
in the Industrial Products industry.
Industry Median: 0.99
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) only.

Blount International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Blount International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Blount International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Blount International Annual Data
Trend Dec06 Dec07 Dec08 Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
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Blount International Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Blount International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Blount International's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Blount International's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Blount International's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Blount International's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Blount International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Blount International's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $-1.040.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Blount International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-1.040*11.5406
=-12.00

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(-12-10.00)/-12
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Blount International  (NYSE:BLT) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Blount International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Blount International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Blount International (Blount International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Blount International Inc is a global industrial company. The Company designs, manufactures, and markets equipment, replacement and component parts, and accessories for professionals and consumers in select end-markets under its proprietary brand names. It also manufactures and markets such items to original equipment manufacturers ("OEMs") under private label brand names. The Company specializes in manufacturing cutting parts and equipment used in forestry, lawn, and garden; farming, ranching, and agricultural; and construction applications. It also purchases products manufactured by other suppliers that are aligned with the markets it serves and market them, typically under one of its brands, through its global sales and distribution network. Its products are sold in more than 110 countries and approximately 54% of its 2013 sales were shipped to customers outside of the United States of America ("U.S."). The Company operates in two primary business segments: the Forestry, Lawn, and Garden ("FLAG") segment and the Farm Ranch and Agriculture ("FRAG") segment. The FLAG segment manufactures and markets cutting chain, guide bars, and drive sprockets for chain saw use, and lawnmower and edger blades for outdoor power equipment. The FLAG segment also purchases replacement parts and accessories from other manufacturers and markets them, primarily under its brands, to its FLAG customers through its global sales and distribution network. The FLAG segment currently includes the operations of the Company that have historically served the forestry, lawn, and garden markets, as well as KOX GmbH and related companies (collectively "KOX"), and a portion of Finalame SA, which includes PBL SA and related companies (collectively "PBL"). The Company's FRAG segment designs, manufactures, assembles and markets attachments and implements for tractors in a variety of mowing, cutting, clearing, material handling, landscaping and grounds maintenance applications, as well as log splitters, post-hole diggers, self-propelled lawnmowers, attachments for off-highway construction equipment applications, and other general purpose tractor attachments. In addition, the FRAG segment manufactures a variety of attachment cutting blade parts. The FRAG segment also purchases replacement parts and accessories from other manufacturers that it markets to its FRAG customers through its sales and distribution network. The FRAG segment currently includes the operations of SP Companies, Inc. and SpeeCo, Inc. (collectively "SpeeCo"), GenWoods HoldCo, LLC and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Woods Equipment Company (collectively "Woods/TISCO"), and a portion of PBL. The Company also operates a concrete cutting and finishing equipment business that is reported within the Corporate and Other category. This business manufactures and markets diamond cutting chain and assembles and markets concrete cutting chain saws for the construction and utility markets.
Executives
Andrew C Clarke director 430 AIRPORT ROAD, GREENVILLIE TN 37745
Nelda J Connors director BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION, 300 BOSTON SCIENTIFIC WAY, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752-1234
Max L Lukens director 2801 POST OAK BLVD, SUITE 600, HOUSTON TX 77056
Ronald Cami director 301 COMMERCE STREET, SUITE 3300, FORT WORTH TX 76102
Harold E Layman director C/O GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD., 12900 SNOW ROAD, PARMA OH 44130
R Eugene Cartledge director C/O GRAFTECH INTERNATIONAL LTD., 12900 SNOW ROAD, PARMA OH 44130
Robert D Kennedy director
Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc 10 percent owner 1271 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Eliot M Fried director 37 WEST 12TH STREET APT 11G, NEW YORK NY 10011
William A Shutzer director C/O TIFFANY & CO LEGAL DEPT, 727 FIFTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10022

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