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Nordson (Nordson) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) : $146.86 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Nordson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Nordson's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model is $146.86.

Note: Discounted Earnings model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Nordson's Predictability Rank is 3.5-Stars.

Margin of Safety (Earnings Based) using Discounted Earnings model for Nordson is -77.31%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Nordson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) or its related term are showing as below:

NDSN' s Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.4   Med: 1.61   Max: 1.78
Current: 1.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Earnings Based) Ratio of Nordson was 1.78. The lowest was 1.40. And the median was 1.61.

NDSN's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) is ranked worse than
79.46% of 443 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 0.98 vs NDSN: 1.77

Nordson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Nordson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Nordson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Chart

Nordson Annual Data
Trend Oct14 Oct15 Oct16 Oct17 Oct18 Oct19 Oct20 Oct21 Oct22 Oct23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 115.52 146.67 139.39 146.24

Nordson Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 148.73 154.40 152.68 146.24 160.03

Competitive Comparison of Nordson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)

For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, Nordson's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Nordson's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Nordson's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Nordson's Price-to-DCF (Earnings Based) falls into.



Nordson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Earnings model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except earnings are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 10.40%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year EPS without NRI Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Nordson's average EPS without NRI Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 10.40%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 10.40%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. EPS without NRI: eps without nri = $8.931.
GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Nordson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.104)/(1+0.11) = 0.99459459459459
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)=EPS without NRI*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=EPS without NRI*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=8.931*16.4441
=146.86

Margin of Safety % (DCF Earnings Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based)
=(146.86-260.40)/146.86
=-77.31 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Nordson  (NAS:NDSN) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book Value per Share, Graham Number, Median Ratio etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Earnings model:

1. The Discounted Earnings model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that are relatively consistent performers.
4. The Discounted Earnings model works poorly for inconsistent performers like cyclicals.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Nordson Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Nordson's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Nordson (Nordson) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
28601 Clemens Road, Westlake, OH, USA, 44145
Nordson is a manufacturer of equipment (including pumps, valves, dispensers, applicators, filters, and pelletizers, among other equipment) used for dispensing adhesives, coatings, sealants, and other materials. The firm serves a diverse range of end markets including packaging, medical, electronics, and industrial. Nordson's business is organized into three segments: industrial precision solutions, medical and fluid solutions, and advanced technology solutions. The company generated approximately $2.6 billion in revenue in its fiscal 2023.
Executives
Srinivas Subramanian officer: Executive Vice President 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Stephen Lovass officer: Executive Vice President C/O NORDSON CORPORATION, 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE X1 44145
Joseph P Kelley officer: EVP and CFO 6070 PARKLAND BLVD., MAYFIELD HEIGHTS OH 44124
Stephen F Shamrock officer: Interim CFO 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Mary G Puma director AXCELIS TECHNOLOGIES INC., 108 CHERRY HILL DRIVE, BEVERLY MA 01915
Jeffrey A Pembroke officer: Executive Vice President C/O NORDSON CORPORATION, 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Sarah Siddiqui officer: EVP, CHRO C/O NORDSON CORPORATION, 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Shelly Peet officer: Executive Vice President 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Sundaram Nagarajan director, officer: President and CEO 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Jennifer L Mcdonough officer: EVP, GC, and Secretary C/O NORDSON CORPORATION, 28601 CLEMENS ROAD, WESTLAKE OH 44145
Michael J Merriman director C/O RC2 CORPORATION, 1111 WEST 22ND STREET, SUITE 320, OAK BROOK IL 60523
Richey Victor L Jr director C/O ESCO TECHNOLOGIES, 9900 A CLAYTON ROAD, ST. LOUIS MO 63124
Frank M Jaehnert director C/O ITRON, INC., 2111 N MOLTER ROAD, LIBERTY LAKE WA 99019
Ginger M Jones director 55 JEWELERS PARK DRIVE, NEENAH WI 54956
Jennifer A Parmentier director 6035 PARKLAND BLVD, CLEVELAND OH 44124

Nordson (Nordson) Headlines

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