GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » John Hancock Preferred Income Fund II (NYSE:HPF) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II (John Hancock Preferredome Fund II) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $16.42 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $16.42.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Predictability Rank is Not Rated. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for John Hancock Preferredome Fund II is 0.37%.

The industry rank for John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HPF's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 1
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Annual Data
Trend Jul17 Jul18 Jul19 Jul20 Jul21 Jul22 Jul23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - -

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Semi-Annual Data
Jul17 Jan18 Jul18 Jan19 Jul19 Jan20 Jul20 Jan21 Jul21 Jan22 Jul22 Jan23 Jul23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 5 years was -8.70%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $1.423.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.423*11.5406
=16.42

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(16.42-16.36)/16.42
=0.37 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


John Hancock Preferredome Fund II  (NYSE:HPF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


John Hancock Preferredome Fund II Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of John Hancock Preferredome Fund II's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


John Hancock Preferredome Fund II (John Hancock Preferredome Fund II) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
200 Berkeley Street, Boston, MA, USA, 02116
John Hancock Preferred Income Fund II is the United States based closed-end, diversified management investment company. Its primary objective is to provide a high level of current income consistent with preservation of capital. The fund's secondary investment objective is to provide growth of capital to the extent consistent with its primary investment objective. The fund's principal investment strategies include to invests a majority of its assets in preferred stocks and other preferred securities, including convertible preferred securities. Its portfolio composition consists of U.S preferred securities, common stocks, foreign preferred securities, corporate bonds, capital preferred securities and short-term investments.
Executives
Dean Garfield director C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Noni L Ellison director TRACTOR SUPPLY, 5401 VIRGINIA WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Andy Mcfetridge officer: Director of the Adviser 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Kristie Feinberg officer: President & CEO of the Adviser C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
York Lo officer: Vice President, Investments C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Kathryn Hayes other: Filer and Employee of the Fund C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Patricia Lizarraga director C/O JOHN, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Paul Lorentz director C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Arthur Pigott officer: VP of the Adviser C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Glen J Gibbons officer: VP of the Adviser C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Frances G Rathke other: Trustee of the Fund C/O GREEN MOUNTAIN COFFEE ROASTERS, INC., 33 COFFEE LANE, WATERBURY VT 05676
Brian Macphee officer: Vice President of the Adviser C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 164 CORPORATE DRIVE, PORTSMOUTH NH 03801
Steven R Pruchansky other: Trustee, the Fund C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 601 CONGRESS STREET, BOSTON MA 02210
Sean Speer officer: Vice President of the Adviser C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 197 CLARENDON STREET, BOSTON MA 02116
Michael Tassinari officer: Vice President of the Adviser C/O JOHN HANCOCK, 200 BERKELEY STREET, BOSTON MA 02116

John Hancock Preferredome Fund II (John Hancock Preferredome Fund II) Headlines

From GuruFocus

JOHN HANCOCK CLOSED-END FUNDS DECLARE MONTHLY DISTRIBUTIONS

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 05-01-2023

JOHN HANCOCK CLOSED-END FUNDS RELEASE EARNINGS DATA

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 07-11-2022

JOHN HANCOCK CLOSED-END FUNDS RELEASE EARNINGS DATA

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 06-21-2022

JOHN HANCOCK CLOSED-END FUNDS RELEASE EARNINGS DATA

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 06-01-2022

JOHN HANCOCK CLOSED-END FUNDS DECLARE MONTHLY DISTRIBUTIONS

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 07-11-2022

JOHN HANCOCK CLOSED-END FUNDS DECLARE MONTHLY DISTRIBUTIONS

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 12-01-2022

JOHN HANCOCK CLOSED-END FUNDS DECLARE MONTHLY DISTRIBUTIONS

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 08-01-2022

JOHN HANCOCK CLOSED-END FUNDS DECLARE MONTHLY DISTRIBUTIONS

By PRNewswire PRNewswire 07-01-2022