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Sigmatron International (Sigmatron International) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-29.36 (As of May. 16, 2024)


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What is Sigmatron International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-05-16), Sigmatron International's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-29.36.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Sigmatron International's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Sigmatron International is N/A.

The industry rank for Sigmatron International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SGMA's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Hardware industry.
Industry Median: 0.885
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Sigmatron International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Sigmatron International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Sigmatron International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Sigmatron International Annual Data
Trend Apr14 Apr15 Apr16 Apr17 Apr18 Apr19 Apr20 Apr21 Apr22 Apr23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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Sigmatron International Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Sigmatron International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Electronic Components subindustry, Sigmatron International's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Sigmatron International's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Hardware Industry

For the Hardware industry and Technology sector, Sigmatron International's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Sigmatron International's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Sigmatron International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.34%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Sigmatron International's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-2.544.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Sigmatron International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-2.544*11.5406
=-29.36

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-29.36-4.77)/-29.36
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Sigmatron International  (NAS:SGMA) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Sigmatron International Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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Sigmatron International (Sigmatron International) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2201 Landmeier Road, Elk Grove Village, IL, USA, 60007
Sigmatron International Inc is an independent provider of electronic manufacturing services (EMS). It provides printed circuit board assemblies and completely assembled electronic products. In addition, it also provides automatic and manual assembly and testing of products; material sourcing and procurement; manufacturing and test engineering support; warehousing and distribution services. The company primarily serves the industrial electronics, consumer electronics, and medical sciences industries. It has two reportable segments as an independent provider of electronic manufacturing services ("EMS") and as a provider of products to pet technology ("Pet Tech"). Geographically, it derives a majority of its revenue from Mexico and also has a presence in China and Vietnam.
Executives
John P Sheehan officer: V.P. Director of Materials
Linda K Frauendorfer director, officer: Chief Financial Officer 2201 LANDMEIER ROAD, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007
James E. Barnes officer: Executive V.P. of Operations C/O SIGMATRON INTERNATIONAL, INC., 2201 LANDMEIER ROAD, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007
James J Reiman officer: CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER C/O SIGMATRON INTERNATIONAL INC., 2201 LANDMEIER RD, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007
Raj B Upadhyaya officer: Executive Vice President SIGMATRON INTERNATIONAL, INC., 2201 LANDMEIER ROAD, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007
Gregory A Fairhead officer: Executive V.P. Operations
Gary R Fairhead director, officer: Director, President & CEO 110 S EVERGREEN #6DS, ARLINGTON HEIGHTS IL 60005
Thomas W Rieck director 1401 BROOK DRIVE, DOWNERS GROVE IL 60515
Barry R Horek director 2201 LANDMEIER ROAD, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007
Bruce J Mantia director 2201 LANDMEIER ROAD, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007
Paul J Plante director C/O RICHARDSON ELECTRONICS, LTD., PO BOX 393, 40W267 KESLINGER RD., LAFOX IL 60147
Dilip S Vyas director
Daniel P Camp officer: V.P. Acuna Operations 2201 LANDMEIER ROAD, SIGMATRON INTERNATIONAL INC, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007
Hom-ming Chang officer: V.P. China Operations C/O SIGMATRON INTERNATIONAL, INC., 2201 LANDMEIER ROAD, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007
Tang Foundation For Reseach Of Traditional Chinese Medicine 10 percent owner C/O SIGMATRON INTERNATIONA INC, 2201 LANDMEIER ROAD, ELK GROVE VILLAGE IL 60007