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United States Cellular (United States Cellular) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $48.34 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


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What is United States Cellular Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), United States Cellular's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $48.34.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

United States Cellular's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for United States Cellular is 23.91%.

The industry rank for United States Cellular's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

USM's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Telecommunication Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.765
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

United States Cellular Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for United States Cellular's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United States Cellular Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

United States Cellular Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
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United States Cellular Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
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Competitive Comparison of United States Cellular's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Telecom Services subindustry, United States Cellular's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United States Cellular's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Telecommunication Services Industry

For the Telecommunication Services industry and Communication Services sector, United States Cellular's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United States Cellular's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



United States Cellular Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 20%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> United States Cellular's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 39.70%, which is no less than 20%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 20%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $1.547.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

United States Cellular's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.2)/(1+0.11) = 1.0810810810811
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=1.547*31.2501
=48.34

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(48.34-36.78)/48.34
=23.91 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


United States Cellular  (NYSE:USM) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


United States Cellular Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

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United States Cellular (United States Cellular) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
8410 West Bryn Mawr, Chicago, IL, USA, 60631
U.S. Cellular is a regional wireless carrier that serves about 5 million customers spread across four major geographic clusters: the Midwest, mid-Atlantic, New England, and the Pacific Northwest. These service territories encompass a total population of about 32 million people. The vast majority of the markets the firm serves are rural or second/third-tier cities, with only the greater Milwaukee and Oklahoma City regions boasting populations greater than 1 million. U.S. Cellular also owns a 5.5% stake in Verizon Wireless' Los Angeles operations and, unlike its wireless carrier peers, owns most of its own towers.
Executives
Michael Irizarry officer: EVP & CTO-Engineering and IS 8410 W BRYN MAWR, CHICAGO IL 60631
Kevin R Lowell officer: EVP, Chief People Officer 8410 W. BRYN MAWR AVE, CHICAGO IL 60631
Xavier Williams director C/O AMERICAN VIRTUAL CLOUD TECHNOLOGIES, 1720 PEACHTREE ST., SUITE 629, ATLANTA GA 30309
James W Butman director 30 N. LASALLE STREET, STE. 4000, CHICAGO IL 60602
Gregory P Josefowicz director 850 76TH STREET SW, GRAND RAPIDS MI 49518
Deirdre Drake officer: SVP-Chief HR Officer 8410 W. BRYN MAWR AVE, CHICAGO IL 60631
Esteban C Iriarte director 8410 W. BRYN MAWR, CHICAGO IL 60631
Vicki L Villacrez director 30 N. LASALLE STREET, SUITE 4000, CHICAGO IL 60602
Ronald E Daly director
J Samuel Crowley director 8410 WEST BRYN MAWR ST STE 700, CHICAGO IL 60631
Jay Ellison officer: EVP-Operations
Laurent C Therivel director, officer: President and CEO 8410 W. BRYN MAWR STREET, CHICAGO IL 60631
Kenneth R Meyers director, officer: President and CEO
Anita J Kroll officer: Chief Accounting Officer 30 N. LASALLE STREET, SUITE 4000, CHICAGO IL 60602
Steven T Campbell director, officer: EVP-Finance, CFO and Treasurer 8410 W. BRYN MAWR, CHICAGO IL 60631

United States Cellular (United States Cellular) Headlines