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Abercrombie & Fitch Co (Abercrombie & Fitch Co) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Abercrombie & Fitch Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Abercrombie & Fitch Co's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Abercrombie & Fitch Co is

The historical rank and industry rank for Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Abercrombie & Fitch Co was 7.49. The lowest was 0.00. And the median was 3.13.

ANF's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Retail - Cyclical industry.
Industry Median: 0.79
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Abercrombie & Fitch Co Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
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Abercrombie & Fitch Co Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Apparel Retail subindustry, Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Abercrombie & Fitch Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 122.08) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co  (NYSE:ANF) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Abercrombie & Fitch Co's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Abercrombie & Fitch Co (Abercrombie & Fitch Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
6301 Fitch Path, New Albany, OH, USA, 43054
Abercrombie & Fitch Co is a specialty retailer that sells casual clothing, personal-care products, and accessories for men, women, and children. It sells direct to consumer through its stores and websites, which include the Abercrombie & Fitch, Abercrombie kids, and Hollister brands. Most stores are in the United States, but the company does have many stores in Canada, Europe, and Asia. All stores are leased. Abercrombie ships to well over 100 countries via its websites. The company sources its merchandise from dozens of vendors that are primarily located in Asia and Central America. Abercrombie has two distribution centers in Ohio to support its North American operations. It uses third-party distributors for sales in Europe and Asia.
Executives
Scott D. Lipesky officer: SVP and CFO 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Kristin A. Scott officer: Brand President-Hollister Co. 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Jay Rust officer: EVP Human Resources 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Samir Desai officer: EVP;Chief Digital&Tech Officer 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Sarah M. Gallagher director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Kenneth B. Robinson director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Gregory J Henchel officer: SVP, Gen Cnsl & Secy C/O HSN, INC., 1 HSN DRIVE, ST. PETERSBURG FL 33729
Fran Horowitz-bonadies officer: President of Hollister brand 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Terry Lee Burman director CLARENDON HOUSE, 2 CHURCH STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM11
Helen Vaid director 600 WEST CHICAGO AVE., STE 400, CHICAGO IL 60654
Kerrii B Anderson director WENDY'S INTERNATIONAL, INC, 4288 WEST DUBLIN-GRANVILLE RD., DUBLIN OH 43017
Suzanne M Coulter director 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
Charles R Perrin director C/O AVON PRODUCS INC, 1345 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10105-0196
Holly May officer: SVP, Chief HR Officer 6301 FITCH PATH, NEW ALBANY OH 43054
James A Goldman director