Coca-Cola Consolidated (Coca-Cola Consolidated) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $417.33 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is Coca-Cola Consolidated Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Coca-Cola Consolidated's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $417.33.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Coca-Cola Consolidated's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Coca-Cola Consolidated is -97.07%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Coca-Cola Consolidated's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

COKE' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.88 Med: 1.22 Max: 2.06
Current: 1.97

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Coca-Cola Consolidated was 2.06. The lowest was 0.88. And the median was 1.22.

COKE's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
87.5% of 16 companies
in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry
Industry Median: 1.01 vs COKE: 1.97

Coca-Cola Consolidated Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Coca-Cola Consolidated's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Coca-Cola Consolidated Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Coca-Cola Consolidated Annual Data

Trend

Dec14

Dec15

Dec16

Dec17

Dec18

Dec19

Dec20

Dec21

Dec22

Dec23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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301.28

428.99

519.11

451.48

Coca-Cola Consolidated Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															519.11	506.88	534.18	464.38	451.48

Competitive Comparison of Coca-Cola Consolidated's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic subindustry, Coca-Cola Consolidated's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Coca-Cola Consolidated's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic Industry

For the Beverages - Non-Alcoholic industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Coca-Cola Consolidated's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Coca-Cola Consolidated's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Coca-Cola Consolidated Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Coca-Cola Consolidated's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 3.20%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $36.162.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Coca-Cola Consolidated's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

36.162

11.5406

417.33

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(417.33	-	822.44)	/	417.33
	=	-97.07 %

Coca-Cola Consolidated (NAS:COKE) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Coca-Cola Consolidated Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Coca-Cola Consolidated's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Coca-Cola Consolidated (Coca-Cola Consolidated) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Beverages - Non-Alcoholic » Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc (NAS:COKE) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

CC5:Germany CC5:Germany

Address

4100 Coca-Cola Plaza, Charlotte, NC, USA, 28211

Website

https://www.cokeconsolidated.com

Coca-Cola Consolidated Inc sells nonalcoholic beverage products in the United States. The company purchases concentrate and syrups from other beverage manufacturers under a license, then produces, packages, markets, and distributes the beverages to retailers. The company's primary licensor is Coca-Cola Co., which generally allows it to exclusively market, produce, and distribute Coca-Cola products in specified parts of the U.S.: North Carolina, South Carolina, West Virginia, and parts of Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee, Virginia, Indiana, and Kentucky. The company manages its business in two operating segments. Nonalcoholic Beverages segment which represents the majority of the company's revenues and All Other segments.

Executives

Coventry Elaine Moyese Bowers	director	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Nathaniel Brent Tollison	officer: See Remarks	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Christine Ann Motherwell	officer: SVP, Human Resources	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Matthew Joseph Blickley	officer: SVP, Financial Planning & CAO	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Donell W Etheridge	officer: See Remarks	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Jeffrey L Turney	officer: See Remarks	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Murrey John W Iii	director	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Fredrick Scott Anthony	officer: SVP, Treasurer	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Richard Tyrone Williams	director	HOMETRUST BANCSHARES, INC., 10 WOODFIN STREET, ASHEVILLE NC 28801
Jennifer K Mann	director	THE COCA-COLA COMPANY, ONE COCA-COLA PLAZA, ATLANTA GA 30313
James L Matte	officer: SVP, Human Resources	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Fisher E Beauregarde Iii	officer: EVP, General Counsel	4100 COCA-COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Wells Sue Anne H.	director	1219 CARTER LAKE ROAD, CHATTANOOGA TN 37405
Deal Clifford M Iii	officer: SVP and CFO	4100 COCA COLA PLAZA, CHARLOTTE NC 28211
Helvey James Relerford Iii	director	100 PIKE WAY, MOUNT AIRY NC 27030