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Gouverneur Bancorp (Gouverneur Bancorp) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $ (As of May. 15, 2024)


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What is Gouverneur Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-05-15), Gouverneur Bancorp's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Gouverneur Bancorp's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Gouverneur Bancorp is

The historical rank and industry rank for Gouverneur Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 12 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Gouverneur Bancorp was 2.17. The lowest was 2.01. And the median was 2.02.

GOVB's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked *
in the Banks industry.
Industry Median: 0.68
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Gouverneur Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Gouverneur Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Gouverneur Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Gouverneur Bancorp Annual Data
Trend Sep00 Sep01 Sep02 Sep03 Sep04 Sep05 Sep06 Sep07 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 4.16 -

Gouverneur Bancorp Quarterly Data
Sep05 Dec05 Mar06 Jun06 Sep06 Dec06 Mar07 Jun07 Sep07 Dec07 Mar08 Jun08 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - 3.71 - - -

Competitive Comparison of Gouverneur Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Gouverneur Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Gouverneur Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Gouverneur Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Gouverneur Bancorp's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Gouverneur Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.36%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = %
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=>

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Gouverneur Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+)/(1+0.11) =

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=*
=

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= ( - 9.96) /

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Gouverneur Bancorp  (OTCPK:GOVB) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Gouverneur Bancorp Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Gouverneur Bancorp's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Gouverneur Bancorp (Gouverneur Bancorp) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
42 Church Street, Gouverneur, NY, USA, 13642
Gouverneur Bancorp Inc principal activities are to accept deposits from the public and utilize those funds in loans, debt obligations which are issued by the United States government and its agencies and mortgage-backed securities. The group serves individuals and businesses in St. Lawrence, Jefferson, and Lewis Counties in New York State. The company operates through its subsidiary Gouverneur Savings and Loan Association. The bank offers commercial, non-mortgage loans to local businesses for working capital, machinery and equipment purchases, expansion and other business purposes.
Executives
Timothy J Monroe director 42 CHURCH STREET, PO BOX 297, GOVENEUR NY 13642-0297
Henry J Leader director 42 CHURCH STREET, PO BOX 297, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
David Claren Mcclure director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR DC 13642
Clara Pistolesi Cummings director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR DC 13642
Chad Brian Soper director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR DC 13642
Amy Marie Rapholz director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR DC 13642
John Neil Mason director C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
Kimberly Ann Adams officer: VP and CFO C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
Taylor James Robbins officer: Executive Vice President C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
Sadie May Hall officer: VP & Compliance Officer C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642
Van Vleet Charles C Jr director, officer: President & CEO C/O GOUVERNEUR SAVINGS LOAN ASSOC, 42 CHURCH ST. BOX 297, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642-0297
Victor Alan James officer: VP & COO C/O GOUVERNEUR BANCORP, INC., 42 CHURCH STREET, GOUVERNEUR NY 13642

Gouverneur Bancorp (Gouverneur Bancorp) Headlines

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