Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana (Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $31.28 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)

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What is Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $31.28.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana is 61.99%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HFBL' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.35 Med: 1.82 Max: 2.87
Current: 0.38

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana was 2.87. The lowest was 0.35. And the median was 1.82.

HFBL's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
78.21% of 546 companies
in the Banks industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs HFBL: 0.38

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana Annual Data

Trend

Jun14

Jun15

Jun16

Jun17

Jun18

Jun19

Jun20

Jun21

Jun22

Jun23

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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22.36

23.53

34.89

31.23

39.59

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana Quarterly Data
	Mar19	Jun19	Sep19	Dec19	Mar20	Jun20	Sep20	Dec20	Mar21	Jun21	Sep21	Dec21	Mar22	Jun22	Sep22	Dec22	Mar23	Jun23	Sep23	Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															35.52	34.67	39.59	33.72	34.27

Competitive Comparison of Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Banks - Regional subindustry, Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Banks Industry

For the Banks industry and Financial Services sector, Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 14.90%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 14.90%, which is between 5% and 20%. => GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 14.90%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.4094.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.149)/(1+0.11) = 1.0351351351351
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

1.4094

22.1962

31.28

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(31.28	-	11.89)	/	31.28
	=	61.99 %

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana (NAS:HFBL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana (Home Federal Bancorp of louisiana) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Banks » Home Federal Bancorp Inc of louisiana (NAS:HFBL) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

624 Market Street, Shreveport, LA, USA, 71101

Website

https://www.hfb.bank

Home Federal Bancorp Inc of louisiana operates as a bank holding company. It is a federally chartered stock savings bank, which provides financial services to individuals, corporate entities, and other organizations. Its core activities consist of attracting deposits from the general public and using those funds to originate loans to the residential, commercial and multi-family segments. The company also invests securities held-to-maturity and securities available for sale.

Executives

James R Barlow	director, officer: President & COO*	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
David Barber	officer: SVP Mortgage Lending *	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Donna C. Lewis	officer: Senior Vice President*	HOME FEDERAL BANCORP, INC. OF LOUISIANA, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Glen W. Brown	officer: SVP & Chief Financial Officer	624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Colquitt Walter T Iii	director	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Scott D Lawrence	director	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Timothy W. Wilhite	director	HOME FEDERAL BANCORP, INC. OF LOUISIANA, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Clyde D Patterson	director, officer: Executive Vice President & CFO	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Martin S. Friedman	10 percent owner	7901 JONES BRANCH DR. SUITE 210, MCLEAN VA 22102
Woodus K Humphrey	director	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Mary L Jones	officer: SVP Retail & Deposit Ops.*	HOME FEDERAL BANCORP, INC. OF LOUISIANA, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Mark Malloy Harrison	director	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
K Matthew Sawrie	officer: SVP Commercial Lending*	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Daniel R Herndon	director, officer: Chairman and CEO	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101
Herndon David A Iii	director	HOME FEDERAL BANK, 624 MARKET STREET, SHREVEPORT LA 71101