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Heidrick & Struggles International (Heidrick & Struggles International) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $30.40 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Heidrick & Struggles International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Heidrick & Struggles International's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $30.40.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Heidrick & Struggles International's Predictability Rank is 4-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Heidrick & Struggles International is 0.46%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Heidrick & Struggles International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

HSII' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.64   Med: 0.85   Max: 1
Current: 1

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Heidrick & Struggles International was 1.00. The lowest was 0.64. And the median was 0.85.

HSII's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
60% of 145 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs HSII: 1.00

Heidrick & Struggles International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Heidrick & Struggles International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Heidrick & Struggles International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Heidrick & Struggles International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.78 - 54.61 43.71 32.89

Heidrick & Struggles International Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 43.71 42.14 36.82 31.02 32.89

Competitive Comparison of Heidrick & Struggles International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Staffing & Employment Services subindustry, Heidrick & Struggles International's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Heidrick & Struggles International's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Heidrick & Struggles International's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Heidrick & Struggles International's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



Heidrick & Struggles International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Heidrick & Struggles International's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 10 years was 2.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $2.6343.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Heidrick & Struggles International's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=2.6343*11.5406
=30.40

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (30.4 - 30.26) / 30.4
= 0.46 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Heidrick & Struggles International  (NAS:HSII) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Heidrick & Struggles International Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Heidrick & Struggles International (Heidrick & Struggles International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
233 South Wacker Drive, Suite 4900, Chicago, IL, USA, 60606-6303
Heidrick & Struggles International Inc is a leadership advisory firm providing executive search and consulting services to businesses and business leaders world wide. The company's operating segment includes the executive search business which operates in the Americas; Europe; Asia Pacific and On-Demand Talent and Heidrick Consulting. It generates maximum revenue from the Americas.
Executives
Mark R Harris officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O HERCULES TECHNOLOGY GROWTH CAPITAL, 400 HAMILTON AVENUE, SUITE 310, PALO ALTO CA 94301
John L Berisford director C/O THE PEPSI BOTTLING GROUP, INC., ONE PEPSI WAY, SOMERS NY 10589
Michael M Cullen officer: Chief Operating Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Tracey Heaton officer: Chief Legal Officer & Corp Sec C/O HEIDRICK & STRUGGLES INT'L, INC., 233 S. WACKER DR. SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Bear Mary E.g. director C/O IMPERVA, INC., 3400 BRIDGE PARKWAY, STE. 200, REDWOOD SHORES CA 94065
Sarah Payne officer: Chief Human Resources Officer 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Krishnan Rajagopalan officer: President and CEO 2001 PENNSYLVANIA AVENUE, SUITE 800, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Elizabeth L Axelrod director C/O EBAY INC., 2065 HAMILTON AVENUE, SAN JOSE CA 95125
Willem Mesdag director C/O RED MOUNTAIN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC., 10100 SANTA MONICA BOULEVARD, SUITE 925, LOS ANGELES CA 90067
Stacey Rauch director C/O ASCENA RETAIL GROUP, INC., 933 MACARTHUR BOULEVARD, MAHWAH NJ 07430
Adam Warby director 2211 ELLIOTT AVE. SUITE 200, SEATTLE WA 98121
Lyle Logan director ONE TOWER LANE, OAKBROOK TERRACE IL 60181
Clare M. Chapman director 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Laszlo Bock director 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606
Kamau Coar officer: General Counsel and Secretary 233 S. WACKER DRIVE, SUITE 4900, CHICAGO IL 60606

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