Saratoga Investment (Saratoga Investment) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $20.15 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)

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What is Saratoga Investment Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-29), Saratoga Investment's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $20.15.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Saratoga Investment's Predictability Rank is 1-Star. Thus, this page is only used for demonstration purposes and the DCF related results in the screener and portfolio will appear as zero.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Saratoga Investment is -17.77%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Saratoga Investment's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

SAR's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is not ranked ^*
in the Asset Management industry.
Industry Median: 0.845
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) only.

Saratoga Investment Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Saratoga Investment's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Saratoga Investment Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Saratoga Investment Annual Data

Trend

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Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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Saratoga Investment Quarterly Data
	Feb19	May19	Aug19	Nov19	Feb20	May20	Aug20	Nov20	Feb21	May21	Aug21	Nov21	Feb22	May22	Aug22	Nov22	Feb23	May23	Aug23	Nov23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	-

Competitive Comparison of Saratoga Investment's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Asset Management subindustry, Saratoga Investment's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Saratoga Investment's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Asset Management Industry

For the Asset Management industry and Financial Services sector, Saratoga Investment's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Saratoga Investment's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Saratoga Investment Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.63%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Saratoga Investment's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 5 years was 0.30%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.746.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Saratoga Investment's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

1.746

11.5406

20.15

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(20.15	-	23.73)	/	20.15
	=	-17.77 %

Saratoga Investment (NYSE:SAR) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Saratoga Investment Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

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Saratoga Investment (Saratoga Investment) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Financial Services » Asset Management » Saratoga Investment Corp (NYSE:SAR) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

535 Madison Avenue, 4th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10022

Website

https://www.saratogainvestmentcorp.com

Saratoga Investment Corp is a specialty finance company that provides customized financing solutions to U.S. middle-market businesses. The company invests in senior and unitranche leveraged loans and mezzanine debt and, to a lesser extent, equity issued by private U.S. middle-market companies, which it defines as companies having annual earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) under $50 million, both through direct lending and through participation in loan syndicates.

Executives

Christian L Oberbeck	director, 10 percent owner, officer: CEO and Director	C/O KOPPERS INC, 436 SEVENTH AVENUE, SUITE 1550, PITTSBURG PA 15219
Steven M Looney	director	132 WAIKU ROAD, RIDGEWOOD NJ 07450-2322
Henri J Steenkamp	officer: Chief Financial Officer	SARATOGA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC, 535 MADISON AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Williams George Cabell Iii	director	5422 ALBIA ROAD, BETHESDA MD 20816
Elizabeth Oberbeck	10 percent owner	C/O SARATOGA INVESTMENT CORP., 535 MADISON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael J Grisius	director, officer: President and Director	1919 PENNSYLVANIA AVE NW, 3RD FL, WASHINGTON DC 20006
Whitman Iii Charles S	director	C/O GSC INVESTMENT CORP., 12 EAST 49TH STREET, SUITE 3200, NEW YORK NY 10017
Phillips Charles G Iv	other: Member of 10% owner group.	C/O SARATOGA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC, 535 MADISON AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Richard A Petrocelli	director, officer: CFO, Secretary and CCO	1350 6TH AVENUE, 18TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
John P. Birkelund	other: Member of 10% owner group	ETHAN ALLEN DRIVE, DANBURY CT 06811
John F. Macmurray	other: Member of 10% owner group	C/O SARATOGA INVESTMENT ADVISORS, LLC, 535 MADISON AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Durkin Charles P Jr	other: Member of 10% owner group
Clo Partners Llc	other: Member of 10% owner group	535 MADISON AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Saratoga Investment Advisors, Llc	other: Member of 10% owner group	535 MADISON AVENUE, 4TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Ivo Turkedjiev	officer: VP Corporate Credit Group	C/O GSC INVESTMENT CORP, 888 SEVENTH AVE, NEW YORK NY 10019