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United Rentals (United Rentals) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $397.81 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is United Rentals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), United Rentals's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $397.81.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

United Rentals's Predictability Rank is 5-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for United Rentals is -73.65%.

The historical rank and industry rank for United Rentals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

URI' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.13   Med: 1.18   Max: 1.74
Current: 1.74

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of United Rentals was 1.74. The lowest was 1.13. And the median was 1.18.

URI's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked worse than
82.07% of 145 companies
in the Business Services industry
Industry Median: 0.82 vs URI: 1.74

United Rentals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for United Rentals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

United Rentals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

United Rentals Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - 412.72

United Rentals Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 350.48 383.84 372.42 412.72 397.82

Competitive Comparison of United Rentals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Rental & Leasing Services subindustry, United Rentals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


United Rentals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, United Rentals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where United Rentals's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.



United Rentals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> United Rentals's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $34.4709.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

United Rentals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)=Dividends per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Dividends per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=34.4709*11.5406
=397.81

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) = (Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)-Current Price) /Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
= (397.81 - 690.80) / 397.81
= -73.65 %

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


United Rentals  (NYSE:URI) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


United Rentals Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of United Rentals's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


United Rentals (United Rentals) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
100 First Stamford Place, Suite 700, Stamford, CT, USA, 06902
United Rentals is the world's largest equipment rental company. It principally operates in the United States and Canada, where it commands approximately 17% share in a highly fragmented market. It serves three end markets: general industrial, commercial construction, and residential construction. Like its peers, United Rentals historically has provided its customers with equipment that was intermittently used, such as aerial equipment and portable generators. As the company has grown organically and through hundreds of acquisitions since it went public in 1997, its catalog (fleet size of $21 billion) now includes a range of specialty equipment and other items that can be rented for indefinitely long periods.
Executives
Terri L. Kelly director C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Michael D Durand officer: EVP, Chief Operating Officer C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Dale A Asplund officer: Senior V.P.-Business Services C/O BRIGHTVIEW HOLDINGS, INC., 980 JOLLY ROAD, SUITE 300, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Anthony S. Leopold officer: SVP C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Joli L. Gross officer: SVP, General Counsel TWO AMERICAN LANE, GREENWICH CT 06831
William E. Grace officer: VP, Interim CFO C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Matthew John Flannery officer: Sr. Vice President- Operations C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902
Craig Adam Pintoff officer: Sr. V.P,, Gen. Counsel & H.R. C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Andrew B. Limoges officer: VP, Controller C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
Jose B Alvarez director STOP & SHOP, 1385 HANCOCK STREET, QUINCY MA 02169
Francisco J Lopez-balboa director 3280 PEACHTREE ROAD, N.W., ATLANTA GA 30305
Jessica Graziano officer: Vice President, Controller C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902
Shiv Singh director C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC., 100 FIRST STAMFORD PLACE, SUITE 700, STAMFORD CT 06902
De Shon Larry D director 6 SYLVAN WAY, PARSIPPANY NJ 07054
Filippo Passerini director C/O UNITED RENTALS, INC, 100 FIRST STAMFORD PL, STAMFORD CT 06902

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