Virco Manufacturing (Virco Manufacturing) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) : $13.26 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)

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What is Virco Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)?

As of today (2024-04-28), Virco Manufacturing's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend model is $13.26.

Note: Discounted Dividend model is only suitable for companies who have a consistant distribution history. If the company's dividends does not remain steady over a long period, results may not be accurate due to the low consistency. The model is also only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star) with dividend payments. If the company's Predictability Rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, or if the company does not pay dividend, the data will not be stored into our database.

Virco Manufacturing's Predictability Rank is 2-Stars.

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based) using Discounted Dividend Model for Virco Manufacturing is 17.12%.

The historical rank and industry rank for Virco Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) or its related term are showing as below:

VIRC' s Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.83 Med: 0.83 Max: 0.83
Current: 0.83

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-DCF (Dividends Based) Ratio of Virco Manufacturing was 0.83. The lowest was 0.83. And the median was 0.83.

VIRC's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) is ranked better than
51.79% of 56 companies
in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry
Industry Median: 0.955 vs VIRC: 0.83

Virco Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Virco Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Virco Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Chart

Virco Manufacturing Annual Data

Trend

Jan15

Jan16

Jan17

Jan18

Jan19

Jan20

Jan21

Jan22

Jan23

Jan24

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

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14.35

Virco Manufacturing Quarterly Data
	Apr19	Jul19	Oct19	Jan20	Apr20	Jul20	Oct20	Jan21	Apr21	Jul21	Oct21	Jan22	Apr22	Jul22	Oct22	Jan23	Apr23	Jul23	Oct23	Jan24
Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	Get a 7-Day Free Trial															-	-	-	-	14.35

Competitive Comparison of Virco Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances subindustry, Virco Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.

Virco Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) Distribution in the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances Industry

For the Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Virco Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Virco Manufacturing's Price-to-DCF (Dividends Based) falls into.

Virco Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Dividend Model with default parameters. The calculation method is the same as Discounted Cash Flow model except adjusted dividend are used in the calculation instead of free cash flow. This is the default method of calculation with GuruFocus DCF calculator.

Usually a two-stage model is used in calculating the intrinsic value with discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DDM calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Dividend Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year Dividend Growth Rate. In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year Dividend Growth Rate. If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year Dividend Growth Rate.
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Virco Manufacturing's average Dividend Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Dividends per Share: adjusted dividends per share = $1.1493.
GuruFocus uses adjusted dividends per share by default to ensure that the valuation reflects the total value of the company, as the actual dividend is only a portion of the total value.

All of the default settings can be changed in the DCF calculator and the results are calculated automatically.

Virco Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) for today is calculated as:

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	=	Dividends per Share	*	{[(1+g1)/(1+d)	+	(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
	+	(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10	*	[(1+g2)/(1+d)	+	(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2	+	...	+	(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Dividends per Share

{[x

x^2

...

x^10]

x^10

y^2

...

y^10]}

Dividends per Share

(1-x^10)

(1-x)

x^10

(1-y^10)

(1-y)]

1.1493

11.5406

13.26

Margin of Safety % (DCF Dividends Based)	=	(Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)	-	Current Price)	/	Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)
	=	(13.26	-	10.99)	/	13.26
	=	17.12 %

Virco Manufacturing (NAS:VIRC) Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Dividends model evaluates the companies based on their power of future dividend distribution instead of their assets.

Be Aware

What you need to know about Discounted Dividends model:

1. The Discounted Dividends model evaluates a company based on its future dividends distribution power
2. Dividend growth is taken into account; therefore a company with a higher dividend growth rate is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies with consistently steady dividends distributed.
4. The Discounted Dividends model works poorly for inconsistent dividends distributor like high growth companies.
5. Your expected return from the investment is a reasonable discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less dividends distributed.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.

Virco Manufacturing Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Virco Manufacturing's Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.

Virco Manufacturing (Virco Manufacturing) Business Description

Industry

GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances » Virco Manufacturing Corp (NAS:VIRC) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: DCF (Dividends Based)

Comparable Companies

Traded in Other Exchanges

N/A

Address

2027 Harpers Way, Torrance, CA, USA, 90501

Website

https://www.virco.com

Virco Manufacturing Corp is engaged in designing, production and distributing quality furniture for the commercial and education markets. The company manufactures an assortment of products, including mobile tables, mobile storage equipment, desks, computer furniture, chairs, and activity tables, folding chairs, and folding tables. Its primary furniture lines are constructed of tubular metal legs and frames, combined with wood and plastic tops, plastic seats and backs, upholstered seats and backs, and upholstered rigid polyethylene and polypropylene shells. Geographically, it operates in the United States and Canada.

Executives

Patricia Levine Quinones	officer: Vice President	6008 E. CALLE CEDRO, ANAHEIM CA 92807
Bradley C Richardson	director
Craig L Levra	director	C/O SPORT CHALET INC, ONE SPORT CHALET DRIVE, LA CANADA CA 91011
Agnieszka Winkler	director	C/O INTER-TEL, INCORPORATED, 1615 SOUTH 52ND STREET, TEMPE AZ 85281
Kathleen D Young	director	C/O VIRCO MFG. CORPORATION, 2027 HARPERS WAY, TORRANCE CA 90501
Douglas A Virtue	director, officer: Executive Vice President
Robert A Virtue	director, officer: President & CEO & Chairman
Donald R Rudkin	director	C/O VIRCO MFG. CORPORATION, 2027 HARPERS WAY, TORRANCE CA 90501
Alexander L Cappello	director	C/O THE CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC, 26901 MALIBU HILLS ROAD, CALABASAS HILLS CA 91301
Bassey Yau	officer: Assistant Secretary / Treasure	5502 MARICOPA ST., TORRANCE CA 90501
Robert M Hupe	officer: VP General Counsel	C/O VIRCO MFG. CORPORATION, 2027 HARPERS WAY, TORRANCE CA 90501
Jerry Scott Bell	officer: COO	C/O VIRCO MFG. CORPORATION, TORRANCE CA 90501
Robert James Devers	officer: Sr. VP, Information Technology	C/O VIRCO MFG. CORPORATION, 2027 HARPERS WAY, TORRANCE CA 90501
Johnson James David Ii	officer: Sr. Vice President Marketing	C/O VIRCO MFG. CORPORATION, 2027 HARPERS WAY, TORRANCE CA 90501
Michael Anthony Digregorio	director	C/O IRONCLAD PERFORMANCE WEAR CORP., 2201 PARK PLACE, SUITE 101, EL SEGUNDO CA 90245