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Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (Chicago Rivet & Machine Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $13.96 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $13.96. The stock price of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is $15.54. Therefore, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

CVR' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.67   Med: 0.91   Max: 1.27
Current: 1.11

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co was 1.27. The lowest was 0.67. And the median was 0.91.

CVR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
61.08% of 1899 companies
in the Industrial Products industry
Industry Median: 1.53 vs CVR: 1.11

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 36.09 34.06 29.00 25.18 13.96

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 25.18 19.85 17.42 15.13 13.96

Competitive Comparison of Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Tools & Accessories subindustry, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Industrial Products Industry

For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-0.77.

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-0.76592+25.967*0.8)/0.966
=13.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chicago Rivet & Machine Co  (AMEX:CVR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Chicago Rivet & Machine Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=15.54/13.956286030661
=1.11

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Chicago Rivet & Machine Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Chicago Rivet & Machine Co (Chicago Rivet & Machine Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
901 Frontenac Road, Naperville, IL, USA, 60563
Chicago Rivet & Machine Co is in the fastener industry in North America. The company operates in two segments namely fasteners and assembly equipment. Its fastener segment consists of the manufacture and sale of rivets, cold-formed fasteners, parts, and screw machine products. The assembly equipment segment consists mainly of the manufacture of automatic rivet setting machines, automatic assembly equipment, and parts and tools for such machines. The majority of revenue is from the fastener segment. Geographically, the majority is from the United States.
Executives
Gregory D Rizzo officer: Chief Executive Officer 901 FRONTENAC ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Morrissey Walter W Jr director 901 FRONTENAC ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Patricia M Miller director 901 FRONTENAC ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
James W Morrissey director 901 FRONTENAC ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Kurt Moders director 901 FRONTENAC ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
John C Osterman director 901 FRONTENAC ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
John L Showel director 440 S. LASALLE STREET, SUITE 2118, CHICAGO IL 60605
Michael J Bourg director 901 FRONTENAC ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Kent H Cooney director 11203 COUNTRY CLUB ROAD, WOODSTOCK IL 60098
Labold Jack J Jr other: Sales Manager 901 FRONTENAC ROAD, NAPERVILLE IL 60563
Divane William T Jr director 2424 NORTH 25TH AVENUE, FRANKLIN PARK IL 60131
George P Lynch director 3030 WARRENVILLE ROAD, SUITE 215, LISLE IL 60532

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