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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-04-26), American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-0.79. The stock price of American Superconductor is $12.27. Therefore, American Superconductor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.
The historical rank and industry rank for American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of American Superconductor was 32.08. The lowest was 12.08. And the median was 14.72.
The historical data trend for American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
American Superconductor Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Mar14 | Mar15 | Mar16 | Mar17 | Mar18 | Mar19 | Mar20 | Mar21 | Mar22 | Mar23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -0.88 | -1.04 | 0.84 | 0.63 | -1.43 |
American Superconductor Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mar19 | Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | -0.54 | -1.43 | -1.98 | -1.83 | -0.79 |
For the Specialty Industrial Machinery subindustry, American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Industrial Products industry and Industrials sector, American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where American Superconductor's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get American Superconductor's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-7.60.
American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (11.37706741589 | * | -7.60272 | + | 79.525 | * | 0.8) | / | 29.092 | |
= | -0.79 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
American Superconductor (NAS:AMSC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
American Superconductor's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 12.27 | / | -0.7863556298684 | |
= |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of American Superconductor's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Daniel P Mcgahn | officer: VP, Stategic Planning,Corp Dev | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR, 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434 |
Kosiba John W Jr | officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434 |
Margaret D. Klein | director | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 114 EAST MAIN STREET, AYER MA 01432 |
Laura A. Dambier | director | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 114 EAST MAIN STREET, AYER MA 01432 |
Vikram S Budhraja | director | 201 S LAKE AVE STE 400, PASADENA CA 91101 |
Barbara G. Littlefield | director | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 114 EAST MAIN STREET, AYER MA 01432 |
Wood John W Jr | director | C/O ANALOGIC, 8 CENTENNIAL DRIVE, PEABODY MA 01960 |
Oliver David R Jr | director | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR, 2 TECHNOLOGY DR, WESTBOROUGH MA 01581 |
John Vander Sande | director | |
Arthur H House | director | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORPORATION, 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434 |
David A Henry | officer: SVP, CFO & Treasurer | |
James F Maguire | officer: EVP, Gridtec Solutions | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR CORP., 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434 |
Kevin Douglas | 10 percent owner | 300A DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 200, GREENBRAE CA 94904 |
Susan J Dicecco | officer: VP, Corporate Administration | C/O AMERICAN SUPERCONDUCTOR, 64 JACKSON ROAD, DEVENS MA 01434 |
Angelo R Santamaria | officer: VP & GM, AMSC Wires Bus. Unit | MICROSEMI CORP, 2381 MORSE AVE, IRVINE CA 92614 |
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