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Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
As of today (2024-05-13), Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $41.61. The stock price of Alliance Resource Partners LP is $22.26. Therefore, Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.5.
The historical rank and industry rank for Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:
During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Alliance Resource Partners LP was 0.95. The lowest was 0.07. And the median was 0.44.
The historical data trend for Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alliance Resource Partners LP Annual Data | |||||||||||||||||||||
Trend | Dec14 | Dec15 | Dec16 | Dec17 | Dec18 | Dec19 | Dec20 | Dec21 | Dec22 | Dec23 | |||||||||||
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 39.66 | 36.86 | 36.30 | 39.00 | 39.89 |
Alliance Resource Partners LP Quarterly Data | ||||||||||||||||||||
Jun19 | Sep19 | Dec19 | Mar20 | Jun20 | Sep20 | Dec20 | Mar21 | Jun21 | Sep21 | Dec21 | Mar22 | Jun22 | Sep22 | Dec22 | Mar23 | Jun23 | Sep23 | Dec23 | Mar24 | |
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | Get a 7-Day Free Trial | 38.20 | 39.28 | 40.08 | 39.89 | 41.61 |
For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:
* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.
For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:
* The bar in red indicates where Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.
Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.
The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.
This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Alliance Resource Partners LP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $369.58.
Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF | = | (Growth Multiple | * | Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) | + | Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24) | * | 0.8) | / | Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average) |
= | (10.265723347005 | * | 369.58384 | + | 1897.78 | * | 0.8) | / | 127.671 | |
= | 41.61 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Alliance Resource Partners LP (NAS:ARLP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation
The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.
Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.
Alliance Resource Partners LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as
Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF | = | Share Price | / | Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF |
= | 22.26 | / | 41.609053386939 | |
= | 0.53 |
* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.
Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Alliance Resource Partners LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.
Kathleen S. Craft | 10 percent owner | 2502 E. 45TH ST., TULSA OK 74105 |
Craft Joseph W Iii | director, 10 percent owner, officer: President and Chief Executive | PO BOX 22027, TULSA OK 74121-2027 |
D Andrew Woodward | officer: Senior VP, New Ventures | C/O ANDX, FINDLAY OH 45840 |
Megan J Cordle | officer: VP, Controller and CAO | P.O. BOX 22027, TULSA OK 74121 |
John H Robinson | director | 1 WATERHOUSE SQU, 5TH FL. 138-142 HOLBORN, LONDON X0 EC1N 2ST |
Robert J Fouch | officer: Vice President and Controller | 1717 S. BOULDER, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119 |
Kirk Tholen | officer: Sr VP, Chief Strategic Officer | 1717 SOUTH BOULDER, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119 |
Robert J Druten | director | 6503 SENECA ROAD, MISSION HILLS KS 66208 |
Wilson M Torrence | director | 1717 SOUTH BOULDER, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119 |
Nick Carter | director | |
Timothy J Whelan | officer: Senior Vice President Sales | 1717 SOUTH BOULDER AVENUE, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119 |
John P Neafsey | director | PO BOX 22027, C/O ALLIANCE RESOURCE PARTNERS LP, TULSA OK 74121 |
Alliance Resource Management Gp, Llc | 10 percent owner | 1717 SOUTH BOULDER AVENUE, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119 |
Alliance Holdings Gp, L.p. | director, 10 percent owner | P.O. BOX 22027, TULSA OK 74121 |
Mgp Ii, Llc | director, 10 percent owner | 1717 SOUTH BOULDER AVENUE, SUITE 400, TULSA OK 74119 |
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