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Ascent Capital Group (Ascent Capital Group) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.00 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Ascent Capital Group is $0.818. Therefore, Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

ASCMA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Business Services industry.
Industry Median: 0.945
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ascent Capital Group Annual Data
Trend Dec09 Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.02 -17.15 -59.00 -59.57 -90.45

Ascent Capital Group Quarterly Data
Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15 Mar16 Jun16 Sep16 Dec16 Mar17 Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -69.14 -74.36 -90.45 -91.12 -23.76

Competitive Comparison of Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Security & Protection Services subindustry, Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Business Services Industry

For the Business Services industry and Industrials sector, Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ascent Capital Group's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-37.18.

Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jun19)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-37.1752+28.084*0.8)/12.574
=-26.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ascent Capital Group  (OTCPK:ASCMA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ascent Capital Group's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=0.818/-26.360249296191
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ascent Capital Group Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ascent Capital Group's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ascent Capital Group (Ascent Capital Group) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5251 DTC Parkway, Suite 1000, Greenwood Village, CO, USA, 80111
Ascent Capital Group Inc is a provider of security systems and security monitoring services. The company operates two segments: monitronics and livewatch. Monitronics offers security alarm services, including monitoring signals arising from burglaries, fires, and medical alerts, and provides customer services and technical support. The company outsources the installation and most field services to its dealers and focuses on fees charged under alarm-monitoring contracts. Livewatch is a do-it-yourself home security provider that generates revenue through the sale of equipment and monitoring contracts. The company operates in the United States of America and Canada.
Executives
Thomas Patrick Mcmillin director C/O WIDEOPENWEST, INC., 7887 EAST BELLEVIEW AVENUE, SUITE 1000, ENGLEWOOD CO 80111
John C Malone 10 percent owner 12300 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Jeffery R Gardner director, officer: Executive Vice President ONE ALLIED DRIVE, LITTLE ROCK AR 72202
William R Fitzgerald director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman 2431 EAST 61ST STREET STE 800, TULSA OK 74136
Charles Y Tanabe director 123 LIBERTY BLVD, ENGLEWOOD CO 80112
Brigade Capital Management, Lp 10 percent owner 399 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brigade Capital Management Gp, Llc 10 percent owner 399 PARK AVENUE, 16TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Morgan Donald E Iii 10 percent owner C/O BRIGADE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, 717 FIFTH AVENUE, SUITE 1301, NEW YORK NY 10022
Brigade Leveraged Capital Structures Fund Ltd. 10 percent owner ONE NEXUS WAY, CAMANA BAY, GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-9005
Ahmet H Okumus 10 percent owner C/O OKUMUS FUND MANAGEMENT LTD., 767 THIRD AVENUE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Okumus Fund Management Ltd. 10 percent owner 767 THIRD AVENUE, 35TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Okumus Opportunistic Value Fund Ltd. 10 percent owner CRAIGMUIR CHAMBERS, SUITE 71, ROAD TOWN, TORTOLA D8 VG 1110
Carl E Vogel director C/O SIRIUS XM RADIO INC., 1221 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10020
Brian Deevy director C/O TICKETMASTER, 8800 WEST SUNSET BLVD., WEST HOLLYWOOD CA 90069
Richard Walker officer: Executive Vice President C/O SERVICESOURCE INTERNATIONAL, INC., 717 17TH STREET, 5TH FLOOR, DENVER CO 80202