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Cowen (COWN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $106.03 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Cowen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Cowen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $106.03. The stock price of Cowen is $38.99. Therefore, Cowen's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cowen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

COWN' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.25   Med: 0.54   Max: 3.13
Current: 0.37

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cowen was 3.13. The lowest was 0.25. And the median was 0.54.

COWN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Capital Markets industry.
Industry Median: 1.07 vs COWN: 0.37

Cowen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cowen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cowen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cowen Annual Data
Trend Dec13 Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 16.82 -7.47 41.72 79.85 106.03

Cowen Quarterly Data
Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 79.85 46.25 98.69 101.07 106.03

Competitive Comparison of Cowen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Capital Markets subindustry, Cowen's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cowen's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Capital Markets Industry

For the Capital Markets industry and Financial Services sector, Cowen's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cowen's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cowen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cowen's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $168.69.

Cowen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec22)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*168.68944+1184.922*0.8)/32.585
=106.03

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cowen  (NAS:COWN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cowen's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=38.99/106.03376596159
=0.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cowen Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cowen's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cowen (COWN) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
599 Lexington Avenue, 20th Floor, New York, NY, USA, 10022
Cowen provides financial services in two segments: the operating company, which includes Cowen Investment Management, investment banking, the markets division, and the research division; and the asset company, which consists of private investments, real estate investments and other legacy investment strategies. Cowen offers investment management services to institutional investors worldwide. The company offers its investment banking and research services to corporations and institutional investors in the U.S. and Europe. Revenue comes primarily through investment banking and brokerage services.
Executives
Lorence H. Kim director C/O SERES HEALTH, INC., 161 FIRST STREET, CAMBRIDGE MA 02472
Brett H Barth director COWEN INC., 599 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Stephen Lasota officer: Chief Financial Officer 599 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
John J Holmes officer: Chief Administrative Officer COWEN GROUP, INC., 599 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Owen S Littman officer: General Counsel COWEN GROUP, INC., 599 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jeffrey M Solomon 10 percent owner, officer: Chmn Inv Comm/Prod Dev 599 LEXINGTON AVENUE 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Gregg A Gonsalves director C/O CEDAR REALTY TRUST, INC., 44 SOUTH BAYLES AVENUE, PORT WASHINGTON NY 11050
Lawrence E Leibowitz director C/O NYSE EURONEXT, 11 WALL STREET, NEW YORK NY 10005
Margaret L Poster director C/O COWEN INC., 599 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Peter A Cohen director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman, CEO, President 40 WEST 57TH STREET, SUITE 2020, NEW YORK NY 10019
Douglas Rediker director 599 LEXINGON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 11022
Michael Singer officer: CEO & President, Ramius LLC 599 LEXINGTON AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Jerome S Markowitz director C/O COUGAR TRADING, 375 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10021
Labranche George M L Iv director, officer: Senior Managing Director ONE EXCHANGE PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10006-3008
Labranche & Co Inc other: See Footnotes (1) and (2) ONE EXCHANGE PLAZA, NEW YORK NY 10006-3008