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Ellington Financial (Ellington Financial) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.31 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Ellington Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Ellington Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.31. The stock price of Ellington Financial is $11.71. Therefore, Ellington Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 37.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Ellington Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

EFC' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 2.08   Med: 2.54   Max: 41
Current: 37.77

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Ellington Financial was 41.00. The lowest was 2.08. And the median was 2.54.

EFC's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
99.82% of 549 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs EFC: 37.77

Ellington Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Ellington Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Ellington Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Ellington Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.38 5.84 8.22 -3.22 0.31

Ellington Financial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -3.22 -0.09 1.04 -0.50 0.31

Competitive Comparison of Ellington Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Ellington Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Ellington Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Ellington Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Ellington Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Ellington Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Ellington Financial's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-125.13.

Ellington Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-125.13056+1517.071*0.8)/71.372
=0.31

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ellington Financial  (NYSE:EFC) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Ellington Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=11.71/0.31342646135779
=37.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Ellington Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Ellington Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Ellington Financial (Ellington Financial) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
53 Forest Avenue, Old Greenwich, CT, USA, 06870
Ellington Financial Inc is a specialty finance company. Its primary investment objective is to generate attractive, risk-adjusted total returns for its shareholders by making investments. the Company has two reportable segments; The Investment Portfolio Segment is focused on investing in a diverse array of financial assets, including residential and commercial mortgage loans, residential mortgage-backed securities, non-mortgage- and mortgage-related derivatives, debt and equity investments in loan origination companies, and other strategic investments, and The Longbridge Segment is focused on the origination and servicing of reverse mortgage loans. it acquires reverse mortgage loans both through its origination activities and through secondary market purchases.
Executives
Lisa Mumford officer: Chief Financial Officer 6 BEACHWOOD COURT, DIX HILLS NY 11746
Stephen J Dannhauser director 122 WEST 55TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Laurence Penn director, officer: CEO and President 52 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Ronald I Simon director 485 MADISON AVENUE, 14TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Michael W Vranos director, 10 percent owner, officer: Co-Chief Investment Officer 52 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Chris Smernoff officer: Chief Accounting Officer 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
John Herlihy officer: Chief Financial Officer 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Mark Tecotzky officer: Co-Chief Investment Officer 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Thomas F Robards director 666 THIRD AVENUE, 5TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10017
Daniel R. Margolis officer: Secretary 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Edward Resendez director 52 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Vc Investments Llc 10 percent owner 53 FOREST AVENUE, 2ND FLOOR, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Emg Holdings, L.p. 10 percent owner 53 FOREST AVENUE, OLD GREENWICH CT 06870
Fbr Capital Markets Pt Inc 10 percent owner 1001 NINETEENTH STREET NORTH, ARLINGTON VA 22302