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Cedar Fair LP (Cedar Fair LP) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $-8.33 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


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What is Cedar Fair LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Cedar Fair LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $-8.33. The stock price of Cedar Fair LP is $38.32. Therefore, Cedar Fair LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Cedar Fair LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Cedar Fair LP was 1.86. The lowest was 1.38. And the median was 1.75.

FUN's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Travel & Leisure industry.
Industry Median: 1.23
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Cedar Fair LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Cedar Fair LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Cedar Fair LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Cedar Fair LP Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 29.76 -9.53 -11.64 -8.53 -8.33

Cedar Fair LP Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only -8.53 -18.16 -12.38 -0.75 -8.33

Competitive Comparison of Cedar Fair LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Leisure subindustry, Cedar Fair LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Cedar Fair LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Travel & Leisure Industry

For the Travel & Leisure industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Cedar Fair LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Cedar Fair LP's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Cedar Fair LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Cedar Fair LP's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $21.14.

Cedar Fair LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.26395753773*21.1432+-582.962/0.8)/51.271
=-8.33

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cedar Fair LP  (NYSE:FUN) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Cedar Fair LP's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=38.32/-8.3305727016886
=

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Cedar Fair LP Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Cedar Fair LP's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Cedar Fair LP (Cedar Fair LP) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
One Cedar Point Drive, Sandusky, OH, USA, 44870-5259
Cedar Fair LP operates amusement park-resorts located in various states across USA and Canada. All their parks have facilities for people from all age groups as well as exciting rides and attractions. The Partnership's portfolio of parks includes Cedar Point, Kings Island, Canada's Wonderland, Dorney Park and the Wildwater Kingdom, Valleyfair, Michigan's Adventure, Kings Dominion, Carowinds, Worlds of Fun, Knott's Berry Farm, and California's Great America. Other than these parks, the partnership also holds a contract to operate a few other parks. Revenues are obtained from amounts paid to gain admission to parks including parking fees, extra-charge attractions, and others.
Executives
Nina Barton director ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
Monica Sauls officer: Senior VP CHRO ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
Jennifer Mason director C/O CEDAR FAIR, 8701 RED OAK BLVD., CHARLOTTE NC 28217
Michelle M Frymire director C/O SPIRIT REALTY CAPITAL, INC., 2727 N. HARWOOD STREET, SUITE 300, DALLAS TX 75201
Daniel J Hanrahan director ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD, 1050 CARIBBEAN WAY, MIAMI FL 33132
Brian Nurse officer: Exec VP, Chief Legal Officer ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
Matthew A Ouimet officer: President ONE CEDAR POINT DR., SANDUSKY OH 44870
Louis Carr director ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
Carlos Ruisanchez director C/O PINNACLE ENTERTAINMENT INC, 3980 HOWARD HUGHES PARKWAY, LAS VEGAS NV 89169
Tim Fisher officer: Chief Operating Officer ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
Craig Heckman officer: SVP, Human Resources ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
Brian C Witherow officer: V.P. & Corporate Controller ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
David R. Hoffman officer: VP of Finance & Corp Tax ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870
Milkie Duffield officer: V.P. & General Counsel ONE CEDAR POINT DR, SANDUSKY OH 44870
Richard Zimmerman officer: VP & GM - Great America ONE CEDAR POINT DRIVE, SANDUSKY OH 44870