GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Consumer Packaged Goods » Keurig Green Mountain Inc (NAS:GMCR) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Keurig Green Mountain (Keurig Green Mountain) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $0.00 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


View and export this data going back to . Start your Free Trial

What is Keurig Green Mountain Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Keurig Green Mountain's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $0.00. The stock price of Keurig Green Mountain is $91.67. Therefore, Keurig Green Mountain's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Keurig Green Mountain's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GMCR's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked *
in the Consumer Packaged Goods industry.
Industry Median: 1.12
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-Projected-FCF only.

Keurig Green Mountain Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Keurig Green Mountain's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Keurig Green Mountain Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Keurig Green Mountain Annual Data
Trend Sep06 Sep07 Sep08 Sep09 Sep10 Sep11 Sep12 Sep13 Sep14 Sep15
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.56 5.41 17.24 27.28 29.14

Keurig Green Mountain Quarterly Data
Mar11 Jun11 Sep11 Dec11 Mar12 Jun12 Sep12 Dec12 Mar13 Jun13 Sep13 Dec13 Mar14 Jun14 Sep14 Dec14 Mar15 Jun15 Sep15 Dec15
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 26.72 24.75 28.46 29.14 34.29

Competitive Comparison of Keurig Green Mountain's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Packaged Foods subindustry, Keurig Green Mountain's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Keurig Green Mountain's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Consumer Packaged Goods Industry

For the Consumer Packaged Goods industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Keurig Green Mountain's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Keurig Green Mountain's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Keurig Green Mountain Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Keurig Green Mountain's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $203.27.

Keurig Green Mountain's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec15)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*203.27152+2519.661*0.8)/150.959
=33.37

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Keurig Green Mountain  (NAS:GMCR) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Keurig Green Mountain's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=91.67/33.36590020902
=2.75

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Keurig Green Mountain Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Keurig Green Mountain's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Keurig Green Mountain (Keurig Green Mountain) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
Keurig Green Mountain Inc is a Delaware Corporation formed in July 1993. The Company is engaged in the coffee and coffeemaker businesses in the United States and Canada. It sells Keurig Single Cup brewers and roast high-quality Arabica bean coffees including single-origin, Fair Trade Certified, certified organic, flavored, limited edition and proprietary blends offered in K-Cup and Vue packs for use with its Keurig Single Cup brewers. The Company also offers traditional whole bean and ground coffee in other package types including bags, fractional packages and cans. In addition, it produces and sells other specialty beverages in portion packs including hot apple cider, hot and iced teas, iced coffees, iced fruit brews, hot cocoa and other dairy-based beverages. The Company manages its operations through three business segments, the Specialty Coffee business unit (SCBU), the Keurig business unit (KBU) and the Canadian business unit (CBU). Due to this combination, the results of U.S. operations, formerly reported in the SCBU and KBU segments, are reported in the Domestic segment and the results of Canadian operations are in the "Canada" segment. The Domestic segment sells single cup brewers and accessories, and sources, produces and sells coffee, hot cocoa, teas and other beverages in portion packs and coffee in more traditional packaging including bags and fractional packs to retailers including supermarkets, department stores, mass merchandisers, club stores, and convenience stores; to restaurants, hospitality accounts, office coffee distributors, and partner brand owners; and to consumers through Company websites. The Canada segment sells single cup brewers, accessories, and sources, produces and sells coffee, teas and other beverages in portion packs and coffee in more traditional packaging including bags, cans and fractional packs under a variety of brands to retailers including supermarkets, department stores, mass merchandisers, club stores, through office coffee services to offices, convenience stores, restaurants, hospitality accounts, and to consumers through its website. The Company's competitors in the coffee marketplace include large national and international companies and numerous local and regional companies.
Executives
Coca Cola Co 10 percent owner ONE COCA COLA PLAZA, ATLANTA GA 30313
John D Hayes director AMERICAN EXPRESS COMPANY, 200 VESEY STREET, NEW YORK NY 10285
Mackay A D David director
Robert Allan Steele director 1 PROCTER & GAMBLE PLAZA, CINCINNATI OH 45202
Jose Octavio Reyes director
Stephen L Gibbs officer: VP, Chief Accounting Officer C/O SCIENTIFIC GAMES CORPORATION, 1500 BLUEGRASS LAKES PARKWAY, ALPHARETTA, GA 30004
Susan S Kilsby director 33 COFFEE LANE, WATERBURY VT 05676
Norman H Wesley director 225 W WESTMINSTER, LAKE FOREST IL 60045
Brian P Kelley director, officer: CEO and President P.O. BOX 90608, AUSTIN TX 78709
Barbara D Carlini director C/O GREEN MOUNTAIN COFFEE ROASTERS INC 33 COFFEE LANE WATERBURY VT 05676
Robert Paul Ostryniec officer: Chief Product Supply Officer 33 COFFEE LANE, WATERBURY VT 05676
Peter G Leemputte officer: Chief Financial Officer CHICAGO TITLE CORP, 171 N CLARK ST, CHICAGO IL 80601
Michael J Mardy director
Frances G Rathke officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GREEN MOUNTAIN COFFEE ROASTERS, INC., 33 COFFEE LANE, WATERBURY VT 05676
Sonia Galindo officer: Corporate Secretary C/O ROSETTA STONE, 1621 NORTH KENT STREET, SUITE 1200, ARLINGTON VA 22209

Keurig Green Mountain (Keurig Green Mountain) Headlines

From GuruFocus

These 6 Bargain Stocks Are Still in Play

By Jonathan Poland Jonathan Poland 11-23-2015

High Growth, Keurig Kold Launch Makes GMCR a Good Buy

By Ashish Sharma Lalitsharma 04-16-2015

Louis Moore Bacon Initiates Position in Keurig Green Mountain

By Ashish Sharma Lalitsharma 05-26-2015

Keurig Green Mountain Has More Downside Ahead

By Juhi Kulkarni JuhiKulkarni 05-29-2015

Keurig Green Mountain – Paying The Price For Misreading Brand Loyalty

By csconsultants csconsultants 05-14-2015

Manning and Napier Doubles Stake in Keurig Green Mountain

By Ashish Sharma Lalitsharma 07-18-2015

Will Keurig Gain Traction From The Kraft Coffee Deal?

By ICRAOnline ICRAOnline 09-08-2014