GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Defensive » Retail - Defensive » Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (NAS:GO) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Grocery Outlet Holding (Grocery Outlet Holding) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $14.21 (As of Apr. 28, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2019. Start your Free Trial

What is Grocery Outlet Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-28), Grocery Outlet Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $14.21. The stock price of Grocery Outlet Holding is $26.17. Therefore, Grocery Outlet Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.8.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grocery Outlet Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

GO' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.84   Med: 1.9   Max: 1.92
Current: 1.84

During the past 8 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Grocery Outlet Holding was 1.92. The lowest was 1.84. And the median was 1.90.

GO's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
85.46% of 227 companies
in the Retail - Defensive industry
Industry Median: 0.87 vs GO: 1.84

Grocery Outlet Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grocery Outlet Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grocery Outlet Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Grocery Outlet Holding Annual Data
Trend Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial - - - - 14.21

Grocery Outlet Holding Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - 14.62 14.21

Competitive Comparison of Grocery Outlet Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Grocery Stores subindustry, Grocery Outlet Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grocery Outlet Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Defensive Industry

For the Retail - Defensive industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Grocery Outlet Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grocery Outlet Holding's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Grocery Outlet Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Grocery Outlet Holding's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $48.52.

Grocery Outlet Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*48.51696+1219.339*0.8)/101.143
=14.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Grocery Outlet Holding  (NAS:GO) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Grocery Outlet Holding's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=26.17/14.211262445917
=1.84

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Grocery Outlet Holding Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Grocery Outlet Holding's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Grocery Outlet Holding (Grocery Outlet Holding) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5650 Hollis Street, Emeryville, CA, USA, 94608
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp is a grocery store operator in the United States. Its flexible buying model allows them to offer quality, name-brand opportunistic products at prices generally 40% to 70% below those of conventional retailers. The stores are run by Entrepreneurial independent operators which create a neighborhood feel through personalized customer service and a localized product offering.
Executives
Thomas F Herman director C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Lindberg Eric J. Jr. director, officer: Chief Executive Officer C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 56560 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Pamela B. Burke officer: CAO, GC & Secretary C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Charles Bracher officer: Chief Financial Officer C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Erik D. Ragatz director ONE MARITIME PLAZA, 12TH FLOOR, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Luke D Thompson officer: SVP, GC and Secretary C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP, 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Calvin Chung officer: See Remarks C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Sheedy Robert Joseph Jr. officer: President C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Lindsay E. Gray officer: VP Corporate Controller C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Steven K. Wilson officer: SVP, Purchasing C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Andrea Renee Bortner officer: Chief Human Resources Officer C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Jeffrey York director C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Brian Mcandrews officer: See Remarks C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608
Norman S Matthews director 650 MADISON AVENUE, 23RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Read S. Macgregor Jr. director, officer: Vice Chairman C/O GROCERY OUTLET HOLDING CORP., 5650 HOLLIS STREET, EMERYVILLE CA 94608