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Hallador Energy Co (Hallador Energy Co) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $8.79 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Hallador Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Hallador Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $8.79. The stock price of Hallador Energy Co is $5.17. Therefore, Hallador Energy Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hallador Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HNRG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1   Med: 0.31   Max: 1.16
Current: 0.59

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hallador Energy Co was 1.16. The lowest was 0.10. And the median was 0.31.

HNRG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
55.56% of 117 companies
in the Other Energy Sources industry
Industry Median: 0.66 vs HNRG: 0.59

Hallador Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hallador Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hallador Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Hallador Energy Co Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 13.85 14.56 11.77 8.74 8.79

Hallador Energy Co Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 8.74 10.18 10.24 11.52 8.79

Competitive Comparison of Hallador Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Thermal Coal subindustry, Hallador Energy Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hallador Energy Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Other Energy Sources Industry

For the Other Energy Sources industry and Energy sector, Hallador Energy Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hallador Energy Co's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hallador Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hallador Energy Co's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $10.51.

Hallador Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(10.551003399274*10.51056+268.588*0.8)/37.064
=8.79

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hallador Energy Co  (NAS:HNRG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hallador Energy Co's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=5.17/8.7893199408666
=0.59

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hallador Energy Co Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hallador Energy Co's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hallador Energy Co (Hallador Energy Co) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1183 East Canvasback Drive, Terre Haute, IN, USA, 47802
Hallador Energy Co is a coal mining company with operations in Indiana, USA, and it is part of the electric power generation industry. The operations of the company are divided into two primary reportable segments, the Coal Operations and Electric Operations segments. The majority of revenue is earned from the Coal Operations segment.
Executives
David C Hardie director, officer: Chairman of the Board 555 DALE DRIVE, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451
Heath Aaron Lovell other: President-Hallador Power 10130 NORTH GREEN RIVER ROAD, EVANSVILLE IN 47725
Bryan H Lawrence director C/O CROSSTEX ENERGY HOLDINGS INC, 2501 CEDAR SPRINGS STE 600, DALLAS TX 75201
Robert Todd Davis officer: SVP & CAO 1183 E. CANVASBACK DRIVE, TERRE HAUTE IN 47802
Wesley Charles Ray Iv director 3033 EAST 1ST AVENUE, DENVER CO 80206
Yorktown Energy Partners Viii, L.p. 10 percent owner 410 PARK AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
Yorktown Viii Associates Llc 10 percent owner 410 PARK AVENUE, 19TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022
David J Lubar director 770 NORTH WATER STREET, ATTN: CORPORATE SECRETARIES DEPT., MILWAUKEE WI 53202
Lawrence D Martin other: CFO - Sunrise Coal, LLC 1183 CANVASBACK DRIVE, TERRE HAUTE IN 47802
Brent K Bilsland director, officer: President 1183 EAST CANVASBACK DRIVE, TERRE HAUTE IN 47802
Victor P Stabio officer: Chairman & Corporate Secretary
W Anderson Bishop officer: Chief Financial Officer 6120 SOUTH YALE AVENUE, SUITE 700, TULSA OK 74136
Hallador Alternative Assets Fund, Llc 10 percent owner 555 DALE DRIVE, INCLINE VILLAGE NV 89451
Steven Hardie director
Yorktown Energy Partners Vii, L.p. 10 percent owner 410 PARK AVENUE, 20TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10022