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Intact Financial (Intact Financial) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $166.05 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Intact Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Intact Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $166.05. The stock price of Intact Financial is $164.42. Therefore, Intact Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.0.

The historical rank and industry rank for Intact Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

IFCZF' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.87   Med: 1   Max: 1.22
Current: 0.99

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Intact Financial was 1.22. The lowest was 0.87. And the median was 1.00.

IFCZF's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
68.03% of 391 companies
in the Insurance industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs IFCZF: 0.99

Intact Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Intact Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Intact Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Intact Financial Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 87.76 111.24 149.55 165.68 169.78

Intact Financial Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 165.68 153.78 162.27 167.65 169.78

Competitive Comparison of Intact Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Intact Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Intact Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Intact Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Intact Financial's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Intact Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Intact Financial's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,411.66.

Intact Financial's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*1411.66176+12067.68*0.8)/178.300
=171.82

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Intact Financial  (OTCPK:IFCZF) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Intact Financial's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=164.42/171.81819030026
=0.96

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Intact Financial Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Intact Financial (Intact Financial) Business Description

Address
700 University Avenue, Suite 1500, Toronto, ON, CAN, M5G 0A1
Intact Financial Corp is a property and casualty insurance company that provides written premiums in Canada. The company distributes insurance under the Intact Insurance brand through a network of brokers and a wholly-owned subsidiary, BrokerLink, and directly to consumers through Belairdirect. Most of the company's direct premiums are written in the personal automotive space. Intact directly manages its investments through subsidiary Intact Investment Management. The vast majority of these invested assets are fixed-income securities. Its asset mix is designed to generate interest and dividend income.