GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Consumer Cyclical » Retail - Cyclical » Kirkland's Inc (NAS:KIRK) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Kirkland's (Kirkland's) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $1.21 (As of Apr. 29, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2002. Start your Free Trial

What is Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-29), Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $1.21. The stock price of Kirkland's is $1.979. Therefore, Kirkland's's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.6.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

KIRK' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1   Med: 0.8   Max: 2.73
Current: 1.64

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kirkland's was 2.73. The lowest was 0.10. And the median was 0.80.

KIRK's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
76.11% of 720 companies
in the Retail - Cyclical industry
Industry Median: 0.8 vs KIRK: 1.64

Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Kirkland's Annual Data
Trend Jan15 Jan16 Jan17 Jan18 Jan19 Jan20 Jan21 Jan22 Jan23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.24 14.84 12.65 5.16 1.21

Kirkland's Quarterly Data
Apr19 Jul19 Oct19 Jan20 Apr20 Jul20 Oct20 Jan21 Apr21 Jul21 Oct21 Jan22 Apr22 Jul22 Oct22 Jan23 Apr23 Jul23 Oct23 Jan24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 5.16 -1.69 -4.21 -5.28 1.21

Competitive Comparison of Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Home Improvement Retail subindustry, Kirkland's's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kirkland's's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Kirkland's's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kirkland's's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kirkland's's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1.38.

Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Jan24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1.3776+3.124*0.8)/12.928
=1.21

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kirkland's  (NAS:KIRK) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kirkland's's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=1.979/1.2077998420948
=1.64

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kirkland's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kirkland's's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kirkland's (Kirkland's) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
N/A
Address
5310 Maryland Way, Brentwood, TN, USA, 37027
Kirkland's Inc is a specialty retailer of home decor and gifts in the United States. Its stores provide various merchandise, including holiday decor, framed arts, furniture, ornamental wall decor, fragrance and accessories, mirrors, lamps, decorative accessories, textiles, housewares, gifts, artificial floral products, frames, clocks, and outdoor living items. Its stores also offer an assortment of holiday merchandise in seasonal periods, as well as items that are suitable for gift-giving.
Executives
W Michael Madden director, officer: President and CEO C/O KIRKLAND'S INC, 431 SMITH LANE, JACKSON TN 38301
Amy Ervin Sullivan officer: SVP, CMO 5310 MARYLAND WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Ann E Joyce director C/O AEROPOSTALE INC, 1372 BRAODWAY 8TH FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10018
Osmium Partners, Llc 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Diamond, Lp 10 percent owner C/O OSMIUM PARTNERS, LLC, 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Capital Lp 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Osmium Spartan L P 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
John Hartnett Lewis 10 percent owner 388 MARKET STREET, SUITE 920, SAN FRANCISCO CA 94111
Osmium Capital Ii, Lp 10 percent owner 300 DRAKES LANDING ROAD, SUITE 172, GREENBRAE CA 94904
Jill A. Soltau director 123 SOUTH FRONT STREET, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Nicole Allyson Strain officer: Interim CFO 5310 MARYLAND WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Charles Iii Pleas director 123 S. FRONT STREET, DEPT. 8074, MEMPHIS TN 38103
Michael A. Holland officer: Sr. VP and CTO 5310 MARYLAND WAY, BRENTWOOD TN 37027
Miles Kirkland director C/O KIRKLAND'S, INC., 2501 MCGAVOCK PIKE, SUITE 1000, NASHVILLE TN 37214
Orr Wilson R Iii director C/O KIRKLAND'S, INC., 2501 MCGAVOCK PIKE, SUITE 1000, NASHVILLE TN 37214