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Kumba Iron Ore (Kumba Iron Ore) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $20.15 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Kumba Iron Ore Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-27), Kumba Iron Ore's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $20.15. The stock price of Kumba Iron Ore is $8.33. Therefore, Kumba Iron Ore's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.4.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kumba Iron Ore's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

KIROY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.1   Med: 0.51   Max: 0.88
Current: 0.41

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kumba Iron Ore was 0.88. The lowest was 0.10. And the median was 0.51.

KIROY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
75% of 476 companies
in the Steel industry
Industry Median: 0.72 vs KIROY: 0.41

Kumba Iron Ore Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kumba Iron Ore's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kumba Iron Ore Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Kumba Iron Ore Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 11.09 17.43 21.05 20.86 20.24

Kumba Iron Ore Semi-Annual Data
Jun14 Dec14 Jun15 Dec15 Jun16 Dec16 Jun17 Dec17 Jun18 Dec18 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Dec22 Jun23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 21.05 - 20.86 - 20.24

Competitive Comparison of Kumba Iron Ore's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Steel subindustry, Kumba Iron Ore's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kumba Iron Ore's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Steel Industry

For the Steel industry and Basic Materials sector, Kumba Iron Ore's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kumba Iron Ore's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Kumba Iron Ore Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kumba Iron Ore's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,386.23.

Kumba Iron Ore's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(11.145567245439*1386.227+2791.797*0.8)/965.028
=18.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kumba Iron Ore  (OTCPK:KIROY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kumba Iron Ore's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=8.33/18.324570733641
=0.45

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kumba Iron Ore Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Kumba Iron Ore (Kumba Iron Ore) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
144 Oxford Road, Rosebank, Melrose, Johannesburg, GT, ZAF, 2196
Kumba Iron Ore Ltd is engaged in the exploration, mining, processing blending and sale of iron ore to the global steel industry. The company primarily operates in South Africa, with mining operations in the Northern Cape and Limpopo provinces, as well as a head office in Centurion, Gauteng, and a port operation in Saldanha Bay, Western Cape. The company's flagship asset is the Sishen mine, which it holds a majority stake, located near the town of Kathu in the Northern Cape Province. The Sishen mine is an opencast mine and produces the bulk of the group's iron ore, most of which is exported. It also holds interest in Kolomela mine.

Kumba Iron Ore (Kumba Iron Ore) Headlines

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