GURUFOCUS.COM » STOCK LIST » Basic Materials » Metals & Mining » Kaiser Aluminum Corp (NAS:KALU) » Definitions » Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

Kaiser Aluminum (Kaiser Aluminum) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $70.64 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


View and export this data going back to 2006. Start your Free Trial

What is Kaiser Aluminum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Kaiser Aluminum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $70.64. The stock price of Kaiser Aluminum is $92.425. Therefore, Kaiser Aluminum's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Kaiser Aluminum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

KALU' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.99   Med: 1.17   Max: 1.37
Current: 1.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Kaiser Aluminum was 1.37. The lowest was 0.99. And the median was 1.17.

KALU's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
53.03% of 594 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.32 vs KALU: 1.31

Kaiser Aluminum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Kaiser Aluminum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Kaiser Aluminum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Kaiser Aluminum Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 90.40 99.44 93.21 64.24 70.64

Kaiser Aluminum Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 56.36 64.92 66.76 70.64 -

Competitive Comparison of Kaiser Aluminum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Aluminum subindustry, Kaiser Aluminum's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Kaiser Aluminum's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, Kaiser Aluminum's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Kaiser Aluminum's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Kaiser Aluminum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Kaiser Aluminum's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $51.36.

Kaiser Aluminum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(14.862653310476*51.36+664.9*0.8)/16.230
=79.81

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kaiser Aluminum  (NAS:KALU) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Kaiser Aluminum's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=92.425/79.806893039189
=1.16

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Kaiser Aluminum Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Kaiser Aluminum's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Kaiser Aluminum (Kaiser Aluminum) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
1550 West McEwen Drive, Suite 500, Franklin, TN, USA, 37067
Kaiser Aluminum Corp produces and sells semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products primarily to industrial customers. The company purchases primary and scrap aluminum, primarily from its five largest suppliers, and processes it into specialized value-added products. It hedges its aluminum costs in an attempt to match commodity price changes between the time it purchases the raw materials and sells the finished products. Kaiser produces high-strength aluminum products for the aerospace industry, specialized aluminum extrusions for the automotive industry, and also sells products to customers in the general engineering industry. Nearly all of Kaiser's revenue is generated in the US, with the remainder coming from Canada. The company's operations are also located in the U.S. and Canada.
Executives
Ray Parkinson officer: VP - Advanced Engineering 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610-2831
Teresa Mosley Sebastian director 1000 DARDEN CENTER DRIVE, ORLANDO FL 32837
Vijai Narayan officer: VP and CAO 1550 WEST MCEWEN DRIVE, SUITE 500, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Kevin W Williams director 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Michael C Arnold director C/O RYERSON HOLDING CORPORATION, 227 W. MONROE ST., 27TH FLOOR, CHICAGO IL 60606
Donald J Stebbins director C/O WABCO HOLDINGS INC., ONE CENTENNIAL AVENUE, PISCATAWAY NJ 08855
Richard P. Grimley director 1550 WEST MCEWEN DRIVE, SUITE 500, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Brant Weaver officer: VP - Strategic Development 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Del L Miller officer: VP - Metal Strategy 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, STE. 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610-2831
Jennifer Huey officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Blain Tiffany officer: EVP - Sales & Marketing 3400 N. WOLF ROAD, FRANKLIN PARK IL 60131
Neal E West officer: VP & Chief Accounting Officer 7565 IRVINE CENTER DRIVE, IRVINE CA 92618
Jack A Hockema director, officer: President and CEO C/O KAISER ALUMINUM CORP, 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 350, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610-2831
Leo Wilfred Gerard director 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610
Keith Harvey officer: SVP - Sales & Marketing 27422 PORTOLA PARKWAY, SUITE 200, FOOTHILL RANCH CA 92610-2831

Kaiser Aluminum (Kaiser Aluminum) Headlines