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Grand Canyon Education (Grand Canyon Education) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $115.92 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Grand Canyon Education Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Grand Canyon Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $115.92. The stock price of Grand Canyon Education is $129.91. Therefore, Grand Canyon Education's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.1.

The historical rank and industry rank for Grand Canyon Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

LOPE' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.11   Med: 2.67   Max: 5.01
Current: 1.12

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Grand Canyon Education was 5.01. The lowest was 1.11. And the median was 2.67.

LOPE's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
62.42% of 149 companies
in the Education industry
Industry Median: 0.76 vs LOPE: 1.12

Grand Canyon Education Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Grand Canyon Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Grand Canyon Education Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Grand Canyon Education Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 42.22 52.99 63.30 86.87 115.92

Grand Canyon Education Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 86.87 99.78 103.79 104.41 115.92

Competitive Comparison of Grand Canyon Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Education & Training Services subindustry, Grand Canyon Education's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Grand Canyon Education's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Education Industry

For the Education industry and Consumer Defensive sector, Grand Canyon Education's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Grand Canyon Education's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Grand Canyon Education Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Grand Canyon Education's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $212.92.

Grand Canyon Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(13.503042164971*212.91552+718.014*0.8)/29.757
=115.92

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Grand Canyon Education  (NAS:LOPE) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Grand Canyon Education's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=129.91/115.91956326702
=1.12

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Grand Canyon Education Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Grand Canyon Education's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Grand Canyon Education (Grand Canyon Education) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2600 West Camelback Road, Phoenix, AZ, USA, 85017
Grand Canyon Education, Inc is a publicly traded education services company dedicated to serving colleges and universities. GCE's most significant university partner is Grand Canyon University, an Arizona non-profit corporation that operates a comprehensive regionally accredited university that offers graduate and undergraduate degree programs, emphases and certificates across nine colleges both online, on ground at its campus in Phoenix, Arizona and at four off-site classroom and laboratory sites. The Company generates all of its revenue through services agreements with its university partners.
Executives
Jack A Henry director C/O SIERRA BLANCA VENTURES, 1211 E. MISSOURI AVENUE, SUITE 222, PHOENIX AZ 85014
Lisa Graham Keegan director 2600 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Lori Browning officer: Chief Accounting Officer 2600 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Kathy J. Claypatch officer: Chief Information Officer 2600 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Sara R. Dial director 3300 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85017
David Adame director 2600 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Brian E Mueller officer: Chief Executive Officer 3300 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
William Stan Meyer officer: Executive Vice President 3300 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Joseph N Mildenhall officer: Chief Information Officer 3300 W. CAMELBACK AVENUE, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Daniel E Bachus officer: Chief Financial Officer 3300 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Dilek Marsh officer: Chief Data Officer 2600 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Daniel J. Briggs officer: Orbis Education, CEO 2600 WEST CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Chevy Humphrey director 2600 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017
Brian M Roberts officer: General Counsel 18835 N. THOMPSON PEAK PARKWAY, SUITE 300 & 380, SCOTTSDALE AZ 85255
Brent D. Richardson director, 10 percent owner, officer: Executive Chairman 3300 W. CAMELBACK ROAD, PHOENIX AZ 85017