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MAG Silver (MAG Silver) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $3.32 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is MAG Silver Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), MAG Silver's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $3.32. The stock price of MAG Silver is $12.96. Therefore, MAG Silver's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 3.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for MAG Silver's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

MAG' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 3.04   Med: 7.54   Max: 10.82
Current: 3.9

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of MAG Silver was 10.82. The lowest was 3.04. And the median was 7.54.

MAG's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
81.99% of 594 companies
in the Metals & Mining industry
Industry Median: 1.32 vs MAG: 3.90

MAG Silver Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for MAG Silver's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

MAG Silver Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

MAG Silver Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 1.51 2.23 2.57 2.75 3.42

MAG Silver Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 2.75 3.16 3.19 3.26 3.42

Competitive Comparison of MAG Silver's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Silver subindustry, MAG Silver's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


MAG Silver's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Metals & Mining Industry

For the Metals & Mining industry and Basic Materials sector, MAG Silver's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where MAG Silver's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



MAG Silver Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get MAG Silver's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-6.25.

MAG Silver's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-6.24608+506.757*0.8)/102.958
=3.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MAG Silver  (AMEX:MAG) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

MAG Silver's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=12.96/3.360017893738
=3.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


MAG Silver Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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MAG Silver (MAG Silver) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
800 West Pender Street, Suite 770, Vancouver, BC, CAN, V6C 2V6
MAG Silver Corp is a Canadian mining company. It is focused on becoming a top-tier primary silver mining company by exploring and advancing high-grade, district-scale, silver-dominant projects in the Americas. Its principal focus and asset are the Juanicipio Project (44%), being developed in a JV partnership with Fresnillo Plc (56%). Juanicipio is located in the Fresnillo Silver Trend in Mexico, and the JV is constructing and developing the surface and underground infrastructure on the property to support a 4,000tpd mining operation. Also, MAG has an expanded exploration program targeting multiple prospective targets at both Juanicipio and the Deer Trail 100% earn-in prloject in Utah.