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Papa John's International (Papa John's International) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $6.10 (As of Apr. 25, 2024)


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What is Papa John's International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-25), Papa John's International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $6.10. The stock price of Papa John's International is $62.91. Therefore, Papa John's International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 10.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Papa John's International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

PZZA' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.89   Med: 4.11   Max: 12.5
Current: 10.31

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Papa John's International was 12.50. The lowest was 1.89. And the median was 4.11.

PZZA's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked worse than
93.12% of 218 companies
in the Restaurants industry
Industry Median: 1.435 vs PZZA: 10.31

Papa John's International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Papa John's International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Papa John's International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Papa John's International Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.79 15.76 16.36 10.36 6.10

Papa John's International Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.36 3.66 4.44 4.73 6.10

Competitive Comparison of Papa John's International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Restaurants subindustry, Papa John's International's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Papa John's International's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Papa John's International's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Papa John's International's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Papa John's International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Papa John's International's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $81.26.

Papa John's International's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)/0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*81.26064+-459.092/0.8)/32.775
=6.10

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Papa John's International  (NAS:PZZA) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Papa John's International's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=62.91/6.0950377944507
=10.32

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Papa John's International Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Papa John's International (Papa John's International) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
2002 Papa John's Boulevard, Louisville, KY, USA, 40299-2367
Papa John's is one of the largest players in the global QSR pizza market, boasting more than 5,700 restaurants across nearly 50 countries at the end of 2022. The firm operates a predominantly franchised system, owning just shy of 10% of its restaurants and generating revenue from franchise royalties, sales of pizza, and related products at its company-owned stores, and sales from its commissary supply chain. The firm is the third-largest limited-service pizza chain in the U.S. and fourth-largest globally, with a sizable presence in the U.K., China, South Korea, and Chile.
Executives
John W Garratt director 100 MISSION RIDGE, GOODLETTSVILLE TN 37072
Stephen L Gibbs director C/O SCIENTIFIC GAMES CORPORATION, 1500 BLUEGRASS LAKES PARKWAY, ALPHARETTA, GA 30004
John C Miller director
Ravi Thanawala officer: Chief Financial Officer 788 CIRCLE 75 PARKWAY, ATLANTA GA 30339
Christopher K Collins officer: VP, Treasury and Tax 788 CIRCLE 75 PARKWAY, ATLANTA GA 30339
Marvin Boakye officer: Chief People Officer PO BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Olivia F Kirtley director 6655 LANCER BLVD, SAN ANTONIO TX 78219
Robert Lynch director, officer: President and CEO P. O. BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Jack H Swaysland officer: SVP, COO - International PO BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Jeffrey C Smith director 201 E LAS OLAS BOULEVARD, SUITE 1000, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33301
James Norberg officer: SVP, CROO PO BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Caroline Miller Oyler officer: SVP, General Counsel P.O. BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Ann B Gugino officer: Chief Financial Officer 1031 MENDOTA HEIGHTS ROAD, ST. PAUL MN 55120
Steven R Coke officer: VP, IR and Strategy P.O. BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269
Amanda Clark officer: Chief Development Officer PO BOX 99900, LOUISVILLE KY 40269