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Annaly Capital Management (Annaly Capital Management) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $55.36 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Annaly Capital Management Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Annaly Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $55.36. The stock price of Annaly Capital Management is $19.031. Therefore, Annaly Capital Management's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.3.

The historical rank and industry rank for Annaly Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

NLY' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.21   Med: 0.53   Max: 2.67
Current: 0.34

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Annaly Capital Management was 2.67. The lowest was 0.21. And the median was 0.53.

NLY's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
85.22% of 548 companies
in the REITs industry
Industry Median: 0.65 vs NLY: 0.34

Annaly Capital Management Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Annaly Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Annaly Capital Management Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Annaly Capital Management Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 40.03 44.38 63.39 57.38 55.36

Annaly Capital Management Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 50.22 53.38 55.59 55.36 -

Competitive Comparison of Annaly Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the REIT - Mortgage subindustry, Annaly Capital Management's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Annaly Capital Management's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the REITs Industry

For the REITs industry and Real Estate sector, Annaly Capital Management's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Annaly Capital Management's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Annaly Capital Management Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Annaly Capital Management's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $1,816.87.

Annaly Capital Management's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*1816.86912+11409.533*0.8)/501.182
=52.73

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Annaly Capital Management  (NYSE:NLY) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Annaly Capital Management's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=19.031/52.725076371959
=0.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Annaly Capital Management Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

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Annaly Capital Management (Annaly Capital Management) Business Description

Address
1211 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY, USA, 10036
Annaly Capital Management Inc is an American mortgage real estate investment trust. The Company owns a portfolio of real estate related investments, including mortgage pass-through certificates, collateralized mortgage obligations, credit risk transfer securities, other securities representing interests in or obligations backed by pools of mortgage loans, residential mortgage loans and mortgage servicing rights. Its business objective is to generate net income for distribution to its stockholders and optimize its returns through prudent management of its diversified investment strategies. The Company's three investment groups are comprised of the following: Annaly Agency Group, Annaly Residential Credit Group, Annaly Mortgage Servicing Rights Group.
Executives
David L Finkelstein officer: Chief Investment Officer ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Scott Wede director ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Manon Laroche director ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Martin Laguerre director C/O BGC PARTNERS, INC., 499 PARK AVENUE, NEW YORK NY 10022
Eric A. Reeves director ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Ilker Ertas officer: Head of Securitized Products 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Steven Francis Campbell officer: Chief Operating Officer C/O ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Thomas Edward Hamilton director 211 STUYVESANT AVE, RYE NY 10580
Anthony C Green officer: Chief Legal Officer ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Timothy P Coffey officer: Chief Credit Officer ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Serena Wolfe officer: Chief Financial Officer ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Glenn Votek director, officer: Interim CEO and President 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 2902, NEW YORK NY 10036
John H Schaefer director 1211 AVE. OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Katherine Beirne Fallon director C/O ANNALY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, INC., 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, NEW YORK NY 10036
Kevin Keyes officer: Managing Director 1211 AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS, SUITE 2902, NEW YORK NY 10036