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Aspen Insurance Holdings (Aspen Insurance Holdings) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $60.27 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Aspen Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Aspen Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $60.27. The stock price of Aspen Insurance Holdings is $42.74. Therefore, Aspen Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 0.7.

The historical rank and industry rank for Aspen Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

AHL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 0.32   Med: 0.4   Max: 0.71
Current: 0.71

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Aspen Insurance Holdings was 0.71. The lowest was 0.32. And the median was 0.40.

AHL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is not ranked
in the Insurance industry.
Industry Median: 0.65 vs AHL: 0.71

Aspen Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Aspen Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Aspen Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Aspen Insurance Holdings Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 64.73 60.27 - - -

Aspen Insurance Holdings Quarterly Data
Jun17 Sep17 Dec17 Mar18 Jun18 Sep18 Dec18 Mar19 Jun19 Dec19 Jun20 Dec20 Jun21 Dec21 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only - - - - -

Competitive Comparison of Aspen Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Insurance - Property & Casualty subindustry, Aspen Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Aspen Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Insurance Industry

For the Insurance industry and Financial Services sector, Aspen Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Aspen Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Aspen Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Aspen Insurance Holdings's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $-59.76.

Aspen Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Dec23)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*-59.76+2908.5*0.8)/59.8627
=29.36

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aspen Insurance Holdings  (NYSE:AHL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Aspen Insurance Holdings's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=42.74/29.364926550676
=1.46

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Aspen Insurance Holdings Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Aspen Insurance Holdings's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Aspen Insurance Holdings (Aspen Insurance Holdings) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
141 Front Street, Hamilton, BMU, HM19
Aspen Insurance Holdings Ltd is a Bermudian insurance and reinsurance company. The company operates through subsidiaries that include Aspen Insurance UK, Aspen Underwriting, Aspen Bermuda, Aspen Specialty Insurance, and Aspen American Insurance Corporation. The company also has branches in Australia, Canada, Singapore, and Switzerland. The company's business is divided into two segments: Aspen Insurance and Aspen Reinsurance. Aspen Insurance consists of property and casualty insurance, marine, aviation and energy insurance, and financial and professional lines insurance. Aspen Reinsurance comprises property catastrophe reinsurance, other property reinsurance, casualty reinsurance, and specialty reinsurance.
Executives
Christian Dunleavy officer: CUO of Aspen Re C/O ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LTD, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Silvia Martinez officer: Group General Counsel 30 FENCHURCH STREET, LONDON X0 EC3M 3BD
Jeffrey Bryan Astwood officer: Group Chief Investment Officer 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Marcus Foley officer: Group Chief Strategy Officer 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Polycarpos Christakis Frydas officer: Group Chief Actuary C/O ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LTD, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Kane Christopher O director, officer: CEO ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Timothy Paul Aman officer: Group Chief Risk Officer 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Glyn Jones director ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LTD, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Kate Vacher officer: CEO, ABL ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Emil Issavi officer: President and CUO, Aspen Re ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Gordon Ireland director C/O ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LIMITED, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Scott Kirk officer: Group CFO C/O ARGO GROUP INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS,, LTD. 90 PITTS BAY ROAD, PEMBROKE D0 HM 08
David Alan Cohen officer: President and CUO Insurance C/O ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LTD, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19
Gernot Lohr director C/O APOLLO MANAGEMENT, L.P.,, 9 W. 57TH STREET, 43RD FLOOR, NEW YORK NY 10019
Grahame Dawe officer: Chief Accounting Officer C/O ASPEN INSURANCE HOLDINGS LTD, 141 FRONT STREET, HAMILTON D0 HM19

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