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Hexcel (Hexcel) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF : $34.65 (As of Apr. 26, 2024)


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What is Hexcel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF?

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company. The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

As of today (2024-04-26), Hexcel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF is $34.65. The stock price of Hexcel is $64.395. Therefore, Hexcel's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of today is 1.9.

The historical rank and industry rank for Hexcel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF or its related term are showing as below:

HXL' s Price-to-Projected-FCF Range Over the Past 10 Years
Min: 1.08   Med: 2.6   Max: 3.84
Current: 1.85

During the past 13 years, the highest Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF of Hexcel was 3.84. The lowest was 1.08. And the median was 2.60.

HXL's Price-to-Projected-FCF is ranked better than
52.41% of 166 companies
in the Aerospace & Defense industry
Industry Median: 1.935 vs HXL: 1.85

Hexcel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Historical Data

The historical data trend for Hexcel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Hexcel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Chart

Hexcel Annual Data
Trend Dec14 Dec15 Dec16 Dec17 Dec18 Dec19 Dec20 Dec21 Dec22 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 33.18 32.81 34.44 34.84 36.92

Hexcel Quarterly Data
Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23 Mar24
Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 34.20 35.07 34.96 36.92 34.65

Competitive Comparison of Hexcel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF

For the Aerospace & Defense subindustry, Hexcel's Price-to-Projected-FCF, along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-Projected-FCF data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Hexcel's Price-to-Projected-FCF Distribution in the Aerospace & Defense Industry

For the Aerospace & Defense industry and Industrials sector, Hexcel's Price-to-Projected-FCF distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Hexcel's Price-to-Projected-FCF falls into.



Hexcel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Calculation

Since the intrinsic value calculations based on Discounted Cash Flow Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based), or Discounted Earnings Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) cannot be applied to companies without consistent revenue and earnings, GuruFocus developed a valuation model based on normalized Free Cash Flow and Book Value of the company.

The details of how we calculate the intrinsic value of stocks are described in detail here.

This method smooths out the free cash flow over the past 6-7 years, multiplies the results by a growth multiple, and adds a portion of Total Stockholders Equity.

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + 0.8 * Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)

In the case of negative Total Stockholders Equity, the following formula is used (see Explanation section below for the reason):

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF = ( Growth Multiple * Free Cash Flow (6 year avg) + Total Stockholders Equity (most recent) / 0.8 ) / Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)


Add all the Free Cash Flow together and divide 6 will get Hexcel's Free Cash Flow(6 year avg) = $171.49.

Hexcel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF=(Growth Multiple*Free Cash Flow (6 year avg)+Total Stockholders Equity (Mar24)*0.8)/Shares Outstanding (Diluted Average)
=(9.5203515959648*171.488+1632.1*0.8)/84.800
=34.65

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hexcel  (NYSE:HXL) Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Explanation

The growth multiple is capped between 8.35 and 17.74.

Total Stockholders Equity weighting is more art than science and it should always be revisited in more detail when researching a company. Weightings from 0% to 100% to more than 100% are possible. 80% was chosen as a happy median after taking the above ideas into consideration.

Hexcel's Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF for today is calculated as

Price-to-Intrinsic-Value-Projected-FCF=Share Price/Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF
=64.395/34.649835548217
=1.86

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Hexcel Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Hexcel's Intrinsic Value: Projected FCF provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Hexcel (Hexcel) Business Description

Industry
Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
281 Tresser Boulevard, Two Stamford Plaza, 16th Floor, Stamford, CT, USA, 06901
Founded in 1948, Hexcel designs and manufactures a range of high-performance composite fibers, fabrics, resins, and structures for use in commercial aerospace, defense, and other industrial markets. These are engineered to be lighter than metal and perform under rigorous conditions in aircraft frames, wings, engines, and other components and subassemblies. The company's name derives from the six-sided honeycomb structures that lend many of its products their light weight and rigidity. Hexcel's biggest customers are Airbus (38% of 2022 sales) and Boeing (25% of prepandemic sales) and its respective subcontractors.
Executives
Gail E Lehman officer: See Remarks 801 CRESCENT CENTRE DRIVE, SUITE 600, FRANKLIN TN 37067
Marilyn Minus director C/O NORTHEASTERN UNIVERSITY, 360 HUNTINGTON AVENUE, MIE DEPT., 334SN, BOSTON MA 2115-5000
Thierry Merlot officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901--326
Philippe Chevrier officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, TWO STAMFORD PLAZA, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901
Gina Fitzsimons officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, TWO STAMFORD PLAZA, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901
Robert George Hennemuth officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD. 16TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Nick L Stanage officer: President 20807 DECATUR STREET, CASSOPOLIS MI 49031
Amy S Evans officer: See Remarks 2701 SPRUCE STREET, QUINCY IL 62301
Kimberly A. Hendricks officer: SVP, Corp. Controller & CAO 521 WEST 57TH STREET, NEW YORK NY 10019
Brett Raymond Schneider officer: President - Global Fibers C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., 16TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Timothy Swords officer: President, Industrial C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901-3261
Pritchett Colleen officer: See Remarks C/O HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., 16TH FLOOR, STAMFORD CT 06901
Jeffrey A Graves director C/O C&D TECHNOLOGIES, INC., 1400 UNION MEETING RD, BLUE BELL PA 19422
Patrick Winterlich officer: See Remarks HEXCEL CORPORATION, 281 TRESSER BLVD., STAMFORD CT 06901
Guy C Hachey director 5725 DELPHI DRIVE, TROY MI 48098